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The Aging Male : the Official Journal... Dec 2023Formal risk assessment is crucial for diabetes prevention. We aimed to establish a practical nomogram for predicting the risk incidence of prediabetes and prediabetes...
BACKGROUND
Formal risk assessment is crucial for diabetes prevention. We aimed to establish a practical nomogram for predicting the risk incidence of prediabetes and prediabetes conversion to diabetes.
METHODS
A cohort of 1428 subjects was collected to develop prediction models. The LASSO was used to screen for important risk factors in prediabetes and diabetes and was compared with other algorithms (LR, RF, SVM, LDA, NB, and Treebag). Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to construct the prediction model of prediabetes and diabetes, and drawn the predictive nomogram. The performance of the nomograms was evaluated by receiver-operating characteristic curve and calibration.
RESULTS
These findings revealed that the other six algorithms were not as good as LASSO in terms of diabetes risk prediction. The nomogram for individualized prediction of prediabetes included "Age," "FH," "Insulin_F," "hypertension," "Tgab," "HDL-C," "Proinsulin_F," and "TG" and the nomogram of prediabetes to diabetes included "Age," "FH," "Proinsulin_E," and "HDL-C". The results showed that the two models had certain discrimination, with the AUC of 0.78 and 0.70, respectively. The calibration curve of the two models also indicated good consistency.
CONCLUSIONS
We established early warning models for prediabetes and diabetes, which can help identify prediabetes and diabetes high-risk populations in advance.
Topics: Humans; Prediabetic State; Incidence; Proinsulin; Diabetes Mellitus; Algorithms; Machine Learning; Nomograms; Retrospective Studies
PubMed: 37156752
DOI: 10.1080/13685538.2023.2205510 -
Diabetologia Apr 2024The concept of type 2 diabetes remission is evolving rapidly, and gaining wide public and professional interest, following demonstration that with substantial... (Review)
Review
The concept of type 2 diabetes remission is evolving rapidly, and gaining wide public and professional interest, following demonstration that with substantial intentional weight loss almost nine in ten people with type 2 diabetes can reduce their HbA level below the diagnostic criterion (48 mmol/mol [6.5%]) without glucose-lowering medications, and improve all features of the metabolic syndrome. Pursuing nomoglycaemia with older drugs was dangerous because of the risk of side effects and hypoglycaemia, so the conventional treatment target was an HbA concentration of 53 mmol/mol (7%), meaning that diabetes was still present and allowing disease progression. Newer agents may achieve a normal HbA safely and, by analogy with treatments that send cancers or inflammatory diseases into remission, this might also be considered remission. However, although modern glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists and related medications are highly effective for weight loss and glycaemic improvement, and generally safe, many people do not want to take drugs indefinitely, and their cost means that they are not available across much of the world. Therefore, there are strong reasons to explore and research dietary approaches for the treatment of type 2 diabetes. All interventions that achieve sustained weight loss of >10-15 kg improve HbA, potentially resulting in remission if sufficient beta cell capacity can be preserved or restored, which occurs with loss of the ectopic fat in liver and pancreas that is found with type 2 diabetes. Remission is most likely with type 2 diabetes of short duration, lower HbA and a low requirement for glucose-lowering medications. Relapse is likely with weight regain and among those with a poor beta cell reserve. On current evidence, effective weight management should be provided to all people with type 2 diabetes as soon as possible after diagnosis (or even earlier, at the stage of prediabetes, defined in Europe, Australasia, Canada [and most of the world] as ≥42 and <48 mmol/mol [≥6.0 and <6.5%], and in the USA as HbA1c ≥39 and <48 mmol/mol [≥5.7 and <6.5%]). Raising awareness among people with type 2 diabetes and their healthcare providers that remission is possible will enable earlier intervention. Weight loss of >10 kg and remission lasting 1-2 years may also delay vascular complications, although more evidence is needed. The greatest challenge for research is to improve long-term weight loss maintenance, defining cost-effective approaches tailored to the preferences and needs of people living with type 2 diabetes.
Topics: Humans; Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2; Hypoglycemia; Prediabetic State; Glucose; Weight Loss
PubMed: 38189935
DOI: 10.1007/s00125-023-06069-1 -
Nutrients May 2024This review aimed to synthesise existing literature on the efficacy of personalised or precision nutrition (PPN) interventions, including medical nutrition therapy... (Review)
Review
Do Precision and Personalised Nutrition Interventions Improve Risk Factors in Adults with Prediabetes or Metabolic Syndrome? A Systematic Review of Randomised Controlled Trials.
This review aimed to synthesise existing literature on the efficacy of personalised or precision nutrition (PPN) interventions, including medical nutrition therapy (MNT), in improving outcomes related to glycaemic control (HbA1c, post-prandial glucose [PPG], and fasting blood glucose), anthropometry (weight, BMI, and waist circumference [WC]), blood lipids, blood pressure (BP), and dietary intake among adults with prediabetes or metabolic syndrome (MetS). Six databases were systematically searched (Scopus, Medline, Embase, CINAHL, PsycINFO, and Cochrane) for randomised controlled trials (RCTs) published from January 2000 to 16 April 2023. The Academy of Nutrition and Dietetics Quality Criteria were used to assess the risk of bias. Seven RCTs ( = 873), comprising five PPN and two MNT interventions, lasting 3-24 months were included. Consistent and significant improvements favouring PPN and MNT interventions were reported across studies that examined outcomes like HbA1c, PPG, and waist circumference. Results for other measures, including fasting blood glucose, HOMA-IR, blood lipids, BP, and diet, were inconsistent. Longer, more frequent interventions yielded greater improvements, especially for HbA1c and WC. However, more research in studies with larger sample sizes and standardised PPN definitions is needed. Future studies should also investigate combining MNT with contemporary PPN factors, including genetic, epigenetic, metabolomic, and metagenomic data.
Topics: Adult; Female; Humans; Male; Middle Aged; Blood Glucose; Glycated Hemoglobin; Lipids; Metabolic Syndrome; Nutrition Therapy; Precision Medicine; Prediabetic State; Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic; Risk Factors; Waist Circumference; Young Adult; Aged
PubMed: 38794717
DOI: 10.3390/nu16101479 -
The International Journal of Behavioral... Jul 2023Sedentary behavior is prevalent among people with diabetes and is associated with unfavorable cardiometabolic health. However, there is limited evidence regarding the...
BACKGROUND
Sedentary behavior is prevalent among people with diabetes and is associated with unfavorable cardiometabolic health. However, there is limited evidence regarding the impact of replacing sedentary time (ST) with physical activity on mortality in people with prediabetes and diabetes. We prospectively examined the association between accelerometer-measured ST and mortality among people with prediabetes and diabetes after adjusting for demographic characteristics, lifestyle factors, and moderate- to vigorous-intensity PA (MVPA). We further determined the effect of replacing ST with equal time of different types of physical activities on all-cause mortality.
METHODS
We included 1242 adults with prediabetes and 1037 with diabetes from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey. Restricted cubic splines were fitted to determine the dose-response association between ST and overall mortality. Isotemporal substitution modeling was used to explore the hazard ratio (HR) effects of ST replacement.
RESULTS
During a median follow-up of 14.1 years, 424 adults with prediabetes and 493 with diabetes died. Compared with the lowest tertile of ST, the multivariable-adjusted HRs for all-cause mortality in the highest tertile were 1.76 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.19, 2.60) for participants with prediabetes and 1.76 (1.17, 2.65) for those with diabetes. Additionally, a linear association between ST and all-cause mortality was observed in adults with prediabetes and diabetes, with HRs for each 60 min/day increment in ST of 1.19 (1.10, 1.30) and 1.25 (1.12, 1.40), respectively. Isotemporal substitution results indicated that individuals with prediabetes whose ST was replaced by 30 min of light-intensity physical activity (LPA) and MVPA had 9% and 40% lower all-cause mortality, respectively. In people with diabetes, replacing sedentary behavior with an equivalent time of LPA and MVPA was also associated with mortality risk reduction (HR 0.89; 95% CI 0.84, 0.95 for LPA; HR 0.73; 95% CI 0.49, 1.11 for MVPA).
CONCLUSIONS
Higher ST was associated in a dose-response manner with an increased risk of premature mortality among adults with prediabetes and diabetes. Statistically replacing ST with LPA was potentially beneficial for health in this high-risk population.
Topics: Humans; Prediabetic State; Sedentary Behavior; Prospective Studies; Nutrition Surveys; Exercise; Accelerometry
PubMed: 37415151
DOI: 10.1186/s12966-023-01488-0 -
Diabetes/metabolism Research and Reviews Sep 2023To investigate whether the association between sleep patterns and cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk differs according to glucose tolerance status.
AIMS
To investigate whether the association between sleep patterns and cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk differs according to glucose tolerance status.
MATERIALS AND METHODS
This prospective study included 358,805 participants initially free of CVD from the UK Biobank. We created a sleep score based on five sleep factors (sleep duration, chronotype, insomnia, snoring, and daytime sleepiness) with one point for each unhealthy factor. Cox proportional hazards models were used to examine the association between sleep and incident CVD, including coronary heart disease (CHD) and stroke, according to normal glucose tolerance (NGT), prediabetes, and diabetes.
RESULTS
During a median follow-up of 12.4 years, 29,663 incident CVD events were documented. There was a significant interaction between sleep score and glucose tolerance status on CVD (P for interaction = 0.002). Each 1 point increment in sleep score was associated with a 7% (95% confidence interval 6%-9%), 11% (8%-14%), and 13% (9%-17%) higher risk of CVD among participants with NGT, prediabetes, and diabetes, respectively. Similar interaction patterns were observed for CHD and stroke. Among the individual sleep factors, sleep duration and insomnia significantly interacted with glucose tolerance status on CVD outcomes (all P for interaction <0.05). All five unhealthy sleep factors accounted for 14.2% (8.7%-19.8%), 19.5% (7.4%-31.0%), and 25.1% (9.7%-39.3%) of incident CVD cases among participants with NGT, prediabetes, and diabetes, respectively.
CONCLUSIONS
The CVD risk associated with a poor sleep pattern was exacerbated across glucose intolerance status. Our findings emphasise the importance of integrating sleep management into a lifestyle modification programme, particularly in people with prediabetes or diabetes.
Topics: Humans; Prediabetic State; Cardiovascular Diseases; Risk Factors; Prospective Studies; Sleep Initiation and Maintenance Disorders; Diabetes Mellitus; Sleep; Stroke; Glucose
PubMed: 37009685
DOI: 10.1002/dmrr.3642 -
Obesity (Silver Spring, Md.) Nov 2023This study examined how cumulative BMI (cBMI) is associated with incident prediabetes in a biracial observational cohort study followed from young adulthood to middle... (Observational Study)
Observational Study
OBJECTIVE
This study examined how cumulative BMI (cBMI) is associated with incident prediabetes in a biracial observational cohort study followed from young adulthood to middle age.
METHODS
Black and White men and women (n = 4190) from the Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults (CARDIA) study, ages 18 to 30 years in 1985 to 1986 and free of prediabetes or diabetes at baseline, were followed for 30 years. Cox regression was used to determine how cBMI was associated with incident prediabetes after controlling for traditional cardiovascular risk factors.
RESULTS
Over 30 years of follow-up, 46.2% of the sample developed prediabetes. Mean cBMI was 801.4 BMI-years for those with prediabetes and 658.3 BMI-years for those without (p < 0.0001). After multivariable adjustment, the hazard rate ratio for the highest cBMI quartile was 2.064 (95% CI: 1.793-2.377) relative to the lowest quartile. The second and third quartiles did not differ from the first quartile, consistent with a nonlinear trend.
CONCLUSIONS
The cumulative burden of higher weight and longer duration was associated with incident prediabetes, but this association was statistically significant only after a higher threshold was reached. Strategies for prevention of prediabetes in middle age may focus on avoiding overweight in young adulthood to limit duration.
Topics: Adult; Female; Humans; Male; Middle Aged; Young Adult; Body Mass Index; Cohort Studies; Diabetes Mellitus; Prediabetic State; Risk Factors
PubMed: 37712179
DOI: 10.1002/oby.23866 -
Frontiers in Public Health 2023Racial and ethnic minority groups and individuals with limited educational attainment experience a disproportionate burden of diabetes. Prediabetes represents a...
INTRODUCTION
Racial and ethnic minority groups and individuals with limited educational attainment experience a disproportionate burden of diabetes. Prediabetes represents a high-risk state for developing type 2 diabetes, but most adults with prediabetes are unaware of having the condition. Uncovering whether racial, ethnic, or educational disparities also occur in the prediabetes stage could help inform strategies to support health equity in preventing type 2 diabetes and its complications. We examined the prevalence of prediabetes and prediabetes awareness, with corresponding prevalence ratios according to race, ethnicity, and educational attainment.
METHODS
This study was a pooled cross-sectional analysis of the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey data from 2011 to March 2020. The final sample comprised 10,262 U.S. adults who self-reported being Asian, Black, Hispanic, or White. Prediabetes was defined using hemoglobin A1c and fasting plasma glucose values. Those with prediabetes were classified as "aware" or "unaware" based on survey responses. We calculated prevalence ratios (PR) to assess the relationship between race, ethnicity, and educational attainment with prediabetes and prediabetes awareness, controlling for sociodemographic, health and healthcare-related, and clinical characteristics.
RESULTS
In fully adjusted logistic regression models, Asian, Black, and Hispanic adults had a statistically significant higher risk of prediabetes than White adults (PR:1.26 [1.18,1.35], PR:1.17 [1.08,1.25], and PR:1.10 [1.02,1.19], respectively). Adults completing less than high school and high school had a significantly higher risk of prediabetes compared to those with a college degree (PR:1.14 [1.02,1.26] and PR:1.12 [1.01,1.23], respectively). We also found that Black and Hispanic adults had higher rates of prediabetes awareness in the fully adjusted model than White adults (PR:1.27 [1.07,1.50] and PR:1.33 [1.02,1.72], respectively). The rates of prediabetes awareness were consistently lower among those with less than a high school education relative to individuals who completed college (fully-adjusted model PR:0.66 [0.47,0.92]).
DISCUSSION
Disparities in prediabetes among racial and ethnic minority groups and adults with low educational attainment suggest challenges and opportunities for promoting health equity in high-risk groups and expanding awareness of prediabetes in the United States.
Topics: Adult; Humans; United States; Ethnicity; Prediabetic State; Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2; Prevalence; Nutrition Surveys; Cross-Sectional Studies; Minority Groups; Educational Status
PubMed: 38164446
DOI: 10.3389/fpubh.2023.1277657 -
The American Journal of Clinical... Sep 2023Evidence is uncertain about the association between serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25(OH)D) concentration and health outcomes in people with type 2 diabetes. (Meta-Analysis)
Meta-Analysis
Serum 25(OH)D Concentration, Vitamin D Supplementation, and Risk of Cardiovascular Disease and Mortality in Patients with Type 2 Diabetes or Prediabetes: a Systematic Review and Dose-Response Meta-Analysis.
BACKGROUND
Evidence is uncertain about the association between serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25(OH)D) concentration and health outcomes in people with type 2 diabetes.
OBJECTIVES
We aimed to assess the association between vitamin D status and all-cause mortality and cardiovascular disease in people with type 2 diabetes.
METHODS
We did a systematic search in PubMed, Scopus, CENTRAL, and Web of Science until May 2022. We selected 1) cohort studies investigating the association between serum 25(OH)D concentration and mortality or cardiovascular disease in people with type 2 diabetes or prediabetes and 2) randomized trials of vitamin D supplementation in these patients. We used random-effects pairwise meta-analyses to calculate summary relative risks (RRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CI).
RESULTS
21 cohort studies and 6 randomized trials were included. Compared with sufficient vitamin D status (≥50 nmol/L), the RR of all-cause mortality was 1.36 (95% CI: 1.23, 1.49; n = 11 studies, GRADE = moderate) for vitamin D insufficiency (25 to <50 nmol/L), and 1.58 (1.33, 1.83; n = 16, GRADE = moderate) for deficiency (<25 nmol/L). Similar findings were observed for cardiovascular mortality and morbidity but not for cancer mortality. The certainty of evidence ranged from very low to moderate. Dose-response meta-analyses indicated nonlinear associations, with the lowest risk at 25(OH)D ∼60 nmol/L for all-cause and cardiovascular mortality. Supplementation with vitamin D did not reduce the risk of all-cause mortality (RR: 0.96, 95% CI: 0.79, 1.16; risk difference per 1000 patients: 3 fewer, 95% CI: 16 fewer, 12 more; n = 6 trials with 7316 participants; GRADE = low) or the risk of cardiovascular mortality and morbidity (very low- to low-certainty evidence).
CONCLUSIONS
Vitamin D deficiency and insufficiency are associated with a higher risk of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in patients with type 2 diabetes or prediabetes. Vitamin D deficiency should be corrected in patients with type 2 diabetes to reach normal serum 25(OH)D concentrations, preferably 60 nmol/L.
SYSTEMATIC REVIEW REGISTRATION
This systemic review was registered at PROSPERO as CRD42022326429 (=https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/display_record.php?RecordID=326429).
Topics: Humans; Cardiovascular Diseases; Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2; Prediabetic State; Vitamin D; Vitamins; Vitamin D Deficiency; Dietary Supplements
PubMed: 37467897
DOI: 10.1016/j.ajcnut.2023.07.012 -
Journal of Clinical Nursing Sep 2023Diabetes has become a global public health problem. Strengthening the self-management ability of people with prediabetes plays an important role in preventing the... (Meta-Analysis)
Meta-Analysis Review
BACKGROUND
Diabetes has become a global public health problem. Strengthening the self-management ability of people with prediabetes plays an important role in preventing the occurrence and development of type 2 diabetes. The aim of this study is to synthesise the self-management experiences and perceptions of people with prediabetes, which can contribute to the development of self-management programs.
METHODS
This review adheres to the ENTREQ Guide. Evidence-based medicine database (JBI and Cochrane) and original literature database (PubMed, Medline, EMbase, Web of Science, Wanfang, CNKI and VIP) were searched up to 31 May 2022. Both Chinese and English literature of qualitative research on self-management experiences and perceptions of prediabetic patients were included. The quality of the included studies was evaluated, and the data were synthesised and analysed by thematic synthesis method.
RESULTS
A total of 23 primary studies containing 504 participants were included. After repeated reading and coding of the literature, three analytical themes were finally identified: coping with role management, success and failure in medical management, seeking and perceiving support.
CONCLUSION
Role management for people with prediabetes needs more attention. Healthcare providers should identify problems from patients' self-management experiences and improve professional skills to assist program modifications. Integrating the self-management program into community activities under the guidance of medical staff and inviting family members and peers to participate can increase involvement and improve the self-management ability.
RELEVANCE TO CLINICAL PRACTICE
These findings describe the different stages and issues in the self-management process of prediabetic patients. The practice of prediabetes self-management should incorporate the psychosocial, physical, and financial issues of the patients. As the main provider of health services, nurses should make patients aware of the susceptibility and severity of prediabetes and help them improve their self-management skills.
NO PATIENT OR PUBLIC CONTRIBUTION
This is a meta-synthesis without direct participation of patients.
Topics: Humans; Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2; Health Personnel; Health Services; Prediabetic State; Qualitative Research; Self-Management
PubMed: 37016501
DOI: 10.1111/jocn.16713 -
Nutrition & Diabetes Sep 2023Obesity and other predictors of type 2 diabetes disproportionally affect Hispanic and Black children in the US compared to non-Hispanic White (NHW) children. Yet, the...
BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES
Obesity and other predictors of type 2 diabetes disproportionally affect Hispanic and Black children in the US compared to non-Hispanic White (NHW) children. Yet, the prevalence of prediabetes in children remains unestablished, and guidelines for screening young children are lacking. This study examined the relationships between demographic factors and prediabetes in vulnerable youth in central Texas.
SUBJECTS/METHODS
This is a cross-sectional analysis of baseline data from 976 3rd-5th graders (7-12 years) who participated in TX Sprouts, a school-based gardening, nutrition, and cooking trial in 16 elementary schools serving mainly children from minority backgrounds and lower-income households. Measures collected included age, sex, ethnicity, free/reduced-priced school lunch (FRL) status, parent educational attainment (questionnaires), BMI from height (stadiometer) and weight (TANITA scale), and prediabetes status from fasting plasma glucose (FPG) and HbA1c. Regressions examined cross-sectional associations between demographics and FPG, HbA1c, and prediabetes.
RESULTS
Children were 47% male, 67% Hispanic, and 10% Black, with a mean age of 9.3 years; 71% received FRL, 50% had overweight/obesity, and 26% had prediabetes. Prediabetes rates were 2.8 and 4.8 times higher in Hispanic and Black children compared to NHW children, respectively (p ≤ 0.001), and 1.5 times higher in children with obesity versus normal BMI (p = 0.02). Children of parents with only an 8th-grade education, some high school education, or a high school degree had 3.1, 2.7, and 2.2 times higher odds of having prediabetes compared to children of college graduates, respectively (p ≤ 0.004). Analyses with FPG and HbA1c yielded similar results.
CONCLUSION
These findings suggest a potential need for earlier screening, more comprehensive testing guidelines, and prevention programs tailored toward minority children, children with obesity, and children of parents with low educational attainment. Future research should explore this finding in a larger, nationally representative sample.
Topics: Adolescent; Humans; Child; Male; Child, Preschool; Female; Ethnicity; Prediabetic State; Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2; Cross-Sectional Studies; Glycated Hemoglobin; Educational Status; Obesity
PubMed: 37689792
DOI: 10.1038/s41387-023-00244-4