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PloS One 2019New generation biologics, including interleukin (IL)-17 and IL-23 inhibitors, have delivered higher rates of skin clearance than older treatments in head-to-head... (Meta-Analysis)
Meta-Analysis
Assessing the relative efficacy of interleukin-17 and interleukin-23 targeted treatments for moderate-to-severe plaque psoriasis: A systematic review and network meta-analysis of PASI response.
INTRODUCTION
New generation biologics, including interleukin (IL)-17 and IL-23 inhibitors, have delivered higher rates of skin clearance than older treatments in head-to-head studies. However, studies comparing these new biologics directly to one another are limited.
OBJECTIVES
To compare the short-term efficacy of available (or imminently available) biologic and non-biologic systemic therapies for treating patients with moderate-to-severe plaque psoriasis.
METHODS
A systematic review was undertaken to identify randomised controlled trials evaluating biologic treatments, apremilast and dimethyl fumarate. MEDLINE, MEDLINE In-Process, Embase and the Cochrane Library were searched from the 1st January 2000 to 22nd November 2018. A Bayesian network meta-analysis (NMA) using a random-effects multinomial likelihood model with probit link and meta-regression to adjust for cross-trial variation in placebo responses compared the efficacy of interventions at inducing different levels of Psoriasis Area and Severity Index (PASI) response during the induction period. A range of sensitivity analyses was undertaken.
RESULTS
Seventy-seven trials (34,816 patients) were included in the NMA. The base-case analysis showed that all active treatments were superior to placebo. IL-17 inhibitors, guselkumab and risankizumab were found to be more efficacious than tildrakizumab, ustekinumab, all TNF inhibitors and non-biologic systemic treatments at inducing all levels of PASI response. In addition, brodalumab, ixekizumab and risankizumab were significantly more efficacious than secukinumab; no significant difference was found in the comparison with guselkumab. The greatest benefit of brodalumab, ixekizumab, guselkumab, and risankizumab was seen for PASI 90 and PASI 100 response. Results were consistent across all analyses.
CONCLUSIONS
In the NMA brodalumab, ixekizumab, risankizumab and guselkumab showed the highest levels of short-term efficacy. There were differences in efficacy between treatments within the same class. Longer-term analyses are needed to understand differences between these drugs beyond induction in what is a life-long condition.
Topics: Biological Products; Dermatologic Agents; Humans; Interleukin-17; Interleukin-23 Subunit p19; Psoriasis; Treatment Outcome
PubMed: 31412060
DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0220868 -
Journal of Neurology Dec 2020Multiple sclerosis (MS) is an autoimmune, demyelinating disease of the central nervous system. The treatment of MS has always been a focus of neurological research. To... (Meta-Analysis)
Meta-Analysis Review
Comparative efficacy and acceptability of disease-modifying therapies in patients with relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis: a systematic review and network meta-analysis.
BACKGROUND
Multiple sclerosis (MS) is an autoimmune, demyelinating disease of the central nervous system. The treatment of MS has always been a focus of neurological research. To date, the US Food and Drug Administration has approved 15 medications for modifying the course of multiple sclerosis. In this study, we examined the effects of disease-modifying therapies (DMTs) on clinical outcomes.
METHODS
We did a systematic review and network meta-analysis based on randomized controlled trials (RCTs) comparing DMTs in patients with relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS). We searched the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, MEDLINE, Embase, ClinicalTrials.gov and the World Health Organization International Clinical Trials Registry Platform for RCTs published up to Oct 31, 2018. The primary outcome was efficacy (relapse rate over 24 months) and acceptability (treatment discontinuation due to adverse events over 24 months).
FINDINGS
We identified 23 suitable trials encompassing 14,096 participants. During the 2 years of follow-up, all drugs were significantly more effective than were placebos. The risk ratios with 95% credible intervals were as follows: alemtuzumab, 0.49 (0.40, 0.59); ocrelizumab, 0.49 (0.40, 0.61); mitoxantrone, 0.47 (0.27, 0.80); natalizumab, 0.51 (0.43, 0.61); fingolimod, 0.57 (0.50, 0.65); peginterferon beta-1a, 0.63 (0.52, 0.77); dimethyl fumarate, 0.65 (0.56, 0.74); teriflunomide 14 mg, 0.78 (0.66, 0.92); glatiramer acetate, 0.80 (0.72, 0.89); IFN β-1a (Rebif), 0.81 (0.72, 0.90); IFN β-1b (Betaseron), 0.81 (0.72, 0.91); teriflunomide 7 mg, 0.83 (0.71, 0.98); and IFN β-1a (Avonex). 0.87 (0.77, 0.99). Risk ratios compared with placebo for discontinuation due to adverse events ranged from 1.12 for the best drug (fingolimod) to 0.10 for the worst drug (mitoxantrone); from 0.24 (alemtuzumab) to 0.89 (IFNβ-1b [Betaseron]) for sustained (3-month) disability progression; and from 0.85 (natalizumab) to 1.25 (teriflunomide 14 mg) for the number of participants with serious adverse events.
INTERPRETATION
All DMTs were superior to placebo in reducing the relapse rate during the 2 years of follow-up. As to the comparison between drugs, alemtuzumab, ocrelizumab, natalizumab and fingolimod had a relatively higher response and lower dropout rates than did the other DMTs.
Topics: Fingolimod Hydrochloride; Glatiramer Acetate; Humans; Immunosuppressive Agents; Interferon beta-1a; Multiple Sclerosis; Multiple Sclerosis, Relapsing-Remitting; Network Meta-Analysis
PubMed: 31129710
DOI: 10.1007/s00415-019-09395-w -
Multiple Sclerosis and Related Disorders Feb 2019
Topics: Crotonates; Dimethyl Fumarate; Fingolimod Hydrochloride; Humans; Hydroxybutyrates; Immunosuppressive Agents; Medication Adherence; Multiple Sclerosis; Nitriles; Toluidines
PubMed: 30590239
DOI: 10.1016/j.msard.2018.12.025 -
Multiple Sclerosis and Related Disorders Nov 2018Psychiatric comorbidity is prevalent in persons with multiple sclerosis (MS). Few studies have assessed whether second-generation disease-modifying therapies (DMT) are...
BACKGROUND
Psychiatric comorbidity is prevalent in persons with multiple sclerosis (MS). Few studies have assessed whether second-generation disease-modifying therapies (DMT) are associated with adverse psychiatric effects.
OBJECTIVE
We aimed to systematically review the literature regarding the APEs associated with natalizumab, fingolimod, dimethyl fumarate, teriflunomide and alemtuzumab in MS. As a secondary objective, we evaluated changes in anxiety or depression scores following treatment with the aforementioned DMTs.
METHODS
We searched MEDLINE, EMBASE, International Pharmaceutical Abstracts, PsychINFO, Central Register of Controlled Trials & Cochrane database of systematic reviews for published studies, and clinicaltrials.gov and regulatory documents from the US and Canada for unpublished studies. Data sources were searched from inception to September 2017. Studies reporting adverse psychiatric effects involving any DMT of interest were included. We report the incidence proportions of the adverse psychiatric effects and, where applicable, risk differences between DMT-exposed and unexposed individuals along with the corresponding 95% confidence intervals. We calculated the standardized mean differences (SMD) of changes in anxiety and depression scores if reported as study outcomes, and pooled the data using random effects meta-analysis.
RESULTS
Of 4389 abstracts screened, 78 met the inclusion criteria, including 48 clinical trials, 28 observational studies and 2 case reports. Depression was the most commonly reported adverse psychiatric effect. Incidence proportions for all adverse psychiatric effects ranged from 0 to 24.7%. None of the DMT studied were associated with a statistically significant increased risk of any adverse psychiatric effect (range of risk difference: -7.69% [95%CI: -16.06%, 5.56%] to 6.67 [-8.56, 15.59]). Eighteen studies examined changes in depression or anxiety following fingolimod, natalizumab or dimethyl fumarate treatment; depression symptoms improved in fingolimod-treated groups (SMD [95%CI]: 1.18 [0.17, 2.19]). We did not identify studies examining changes in these outcomes following treatment with any of the other DMTs.
CONCLUSION
The DMTs reviewed were not associated with an increased risk of adverse psychiatric effect in MS, and some may reduce the incidence of depressive symptoms. This may reflect either a positive direct effect (e.g. immune modulation) or an indirect effect arising due to a positive impact on disease activity or course.
Topics: Anxiety; Depression; Humans; Immunosuppressive Agents; Multiple Sclerosis
PubMed: 30248593
DOI: 10.1016/j.msard.2018.09.008 -
Current Medical Research and Opinion Feb 2019The introduction of new disease-modifying therapies (DMTs) for remitting-relapsing multiple sclerosis (RRMS) has considerably transformed the landscape of therapeutic...
BACKGROUND
The introduction of new disease-modifying therapies (DMTs) for remitting-relapsing multiple sclerosis (RRMS) has considerably transformed the landscape of therapeutic opportunities for this chronic disabling disease. Unlike injectable drugs, oral DMTs promote patient satisfaction and increase therapeutic adherence.
REVIEW
This article reviews the salient features about the mode of action, efficacy, safety, and tolerability profile of approved oral DMTs in RRMS, and reviews their place in clinical algorithms in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region. A systematic review was conducted using a comprehensive search of MEDLINE, PubMed, Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews (period January 1, 1995-January 31, 2018). Additional searches of the American Academy of Neurology and European Committee for Treatment and Research in Multiple Sclerosis abstracts from 2012-2017 were performed, in addition to searches of the Food and Drug Administration and European Medicines Agency websites, to obtain relevant safety information on these DMTs.
CONCLUSIONS
Four oral DMTs: fingolimod, teriflunomide, dimethyl fumarate, and cladribine have been approved by the regulatory agencies. Based on the number needed to treat (NNT), the potential role of these DMTs in the management of active and highly active or rapidly evolving RRMS is assessed. Finally, the place of the oral DMTs in clinical algorithms in the MENA region is reviewed.
Topics: Africa, Northern; Humans; Immunosuppressive Agents; Middle East; Multiple Sclerosis, Relapsing-Remitting
PubMed: 29764226
DOI: 10.1080/03007995.2018.1476334 -
The Cochrane Database of Systematic... Apr 2017The treatment of multiple sclerosis has changed over the last 20 years. The advent of disease-modifying drugs in the mid-1990s heralded a period of rapid progress in the... (Meta-Analysis)
Meta-Analysis Review
BACKGROUND
The treatment of multiple sclerosis has changed over the last 20 years. The advent of disease-modifying drugs in the mid-1990s heralded a period of rapid progress in the understanding and management of multiple sclerosis. With the support of magnetic resonance imaging early diagnosis is possible, enabling treatment initiation at the time of the first clinical attack. As most of the disease-modifying drugs are associated with adverse events, patients and clinicians need to weigh the benefit and safety of the various early treatment options before taking informed decisions.
OBJECTIVES
1. to estimate the benefit and safety of disease-modifying drugs that have been evaluated in all studies (randomised or non-randomised) for the treatment of a first clinical attack suggestive of MS compared either with placebo or no treatment;2. to assess the relative efficacy and safety of disease-modifying drugs according to their benefit and safety;3. to estimate the benefit and safety of disease-modifying drugs that have been evaluated in all studies (randomised or non-randomised) for treatment started after a first attack ('early treatment') compared with treatment started after a second attack or at another later time point ('delayed treatment').
SEARCH METHODS
We searched the Cochrane Multiple Sclerosis and Rare Diseases of the CNS Group Trials Register, MEDLINE, Embase, CINAHL, LILACS, clinicaltrials.gov, the WHO trials registry, and US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) reports, and searched for unpublished studies (until December 2016).
SELECTION CRITERIA
We included randomised and observational studies that evaluated one or more drugs as monotherapy in adult participants with a first clinical attack suggestive of MS. We considered evidence on alemtuzumab, azathioprine, cladribine, daclizumab, dimethyl fumarate, fingolimod, glatiramer acetate, immunoglobulins, interferon beta-1b, interferon beta-1a (Rebif®, Avonex®), laquinimod, mitoxantrone, natalizumab, ocrelizumab, pegylated interferon beta-1a, rituximab and teriflunomide.
DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS
Two teams of three authors each independently selected studies and extracted data. The primary outcomes were disability-worsening, relapses, occurrence of at least one serious adverse event (AE) and withdrawing from the study or discontinuing the drug because of AEs. Time to conversion to clinically definite MS (CDMS) defined by Poser diagnostic criteria, and probability to discontinue the treatment or dropout for any reason were recorded as secondary outcomes. We synthesized study data using random-effects meta-analyses and performed indirect comparisons between drugs. We calculated odds ratios (OR) and hazard ratios (HR) along with relative 95% confidence intervals (CI) for all outcomes. We estimated the absolute effects only for primary outcomes. We evaluated the credibility of the evidence using the GRADE system.
MAIN RESULTS
We included 10 randomised trials, eight open-label extension studies (OLEs) and four cohort studies published between 2010 and 2016. The overall risk of bias was high and the reporting of AEs was scarce. The quality of the evidence associated with the results ranges from low to very low. Early treatment versus placebo during the first 24 months' follow-upThere was a small, non-significant advantage of early treatment compared with placebo in disability-worsening (6.4% fewer (13.9 fewer to 3 more) participants with disability-worsening with interferon beta-1a (Rebif®) or teriflunomide) and in relapses (10% fewer (20.3 fewer to 2.8 more) participants with relapses with teriflunomide). Early treatment was associated with 1.6% fewer participants with at least one serious AE (3 fewer to 0.2 more). Participants on early treatment were on average 4.6% times (0.3 fewer to 15.4 more) more likely to withdraw from the study due to AEs. This result was mostly driven by studies on interferon beta 1-b, glatiramer acetate and cladribine that were associated with significantly more withdrawals for AEs. Early treatment decreased the hazard of conversion to CDMS (HR 0.53, 95% CI 0.47 to 0.60). Comparing active interventions during the first 24 months' follow-upIndirect comparison of interferon beta-1a (Rebif®) with teriflunomide did not show any difference on reducing disability-worsening (OR 0.84, 95% CI 0.43 to 1.66). We found no differences between the included drugs with respect to the hazard of conversion to CDMS. Interferon beta-1a (Rebif®) and teriflunomide were associated with fewer dropouts because of AEs compared with interferon beta-1b, cladribine and glatiramer acetate (ORs range between 0.03 and 0.29, with substantial uncertainty). Early versus delayed treatmentWe did not find evidence of differences between early and delayed treatments for disability-worsening at a maximum of five years' follow-up (3% fewer participants with early treatment (15 fewer to 11.1 more)). There was important variability across interventions; early treatment with interferon beta-1b considerably reduced the odds of participants with disability-worsening during three and five years' follow-up (OR 0.52, 95% CI 0.32 to 0.84 and OR 0.57, 95% CI 0.36 to 0.89). The early treatment group had 19.6% fewer participants with relapses (26.7 fewer to 12.7 fewer) compared to late treatment at a maximum of five years' follow-up and early treatment decreased the hazard of conversion to CDMS at any follow-up up to 10 years (i.e. over five years' follow-up HR 0.62, 95% CI 0.53 to 0.73). We did not draw any conclusions on long-term serious AEs or discontinuation due to AEs because of inadequacies in the available data both in the included OLEs and cohort studies.
AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS
Very low-quality evidence suggests a small and uncertain benefit with early treatment compared with placebo in reducing disability-worsening and relapses. The advantage of early treatment compared with delayed on disability-worsening was heterogeneous depending on the actual drug used and based on very low-quality evidence. Low-quality evidence suggests that the chances of relapse are less with early treatment compared with delayed. Early treatment reduced the hazard of conversion to CDMS compared either with placebo, no treatment or delayed treatment, both in short- and long-term follow-up. Low-quality evidence suggests that early treatment is associated with fewer participants with at least one serious AE compared with placebo. Very low-quality evidence suggests that, compared with placebo, early treatment leads to more withdrawals or treatment discontinuation due to AEs. Difference between drugs on short-term benefit and safety was uncertain because few studies and only indirect comparisons were available. Long-term safety of early treatment is uncertain because of inadequately reported or unavailable data.
Topics: Adjuvants, Immunologic; Cladribine; Cohort Studies; Crotonates; Disease Progression; Glatiramer Acetate; Humans; Hydroxybutyrates; Immunosuppressive Agents; Interferon beta-1a; Multiple Sclerosis; Nitriles; Publication Bias; Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic; Recurrence; Time Factors; Toluidines
PubMed: 28440858
DOI: 10.1002/14651858.CD012200.pub2 -
BMJ Open Mar 2017Multiple sclerosis (MS) is a chronic, neurodegenerative autoimmune disorder affecting the central nervous system. Relapsing-remitting MS (RRMS) is the most common... (Comparative Study)
Comparative Study Meta-Analysis Review
OBJECTIVE
Multiple sclerosis (MS) is a chronic, neurodegenerative autoimmune disorder affecting the central nervous system. Relapsing-remitting MS (RRMS) is the most common clinical form of MS and affects ∼85% of cases at onset. Highly active (HA) and rapidly evolving severe (RES) RRMS are 2 forms of RRMS amenable to disease-modifying therapies (DMT). This study explored the efficacy of fingolimod relative to other DMTs for the treatment of HA and RES RRMS.
METHODS
A systematic literature review (SLR) was conducted to identify published randomised controlled trials in HA and RES RRMS. Identified evidence was vetted, and a Bayesian network meta-analysis (NMA) was performed to evaluate the relative efficacy of fingolimod versus dimethyl fumarate (DMF) in HA RRMS and versus natalizumab in RES RRMS.
RESULTS
For HA RRMS, the SLR identified 2 studies with relevant patient subgroup data: 1 comparing fingolimod with placebo and the other comparing DMF with placebo. 3 studies were found for RES RRMS: 1 comparing fingolimod with placebo and 2 studies comparing natalizumab with placebo. NMA results in the HA population showed a favourable numerical trend of fingolimod versus DMF assessed for annualised relapse rate (ARR) and 3-month confirmed disability progression. For the RES population, the results identified an increase of ARR and 3-month confirmed disability progression for fingolimod versus natalizumab (not statistically significant). Sparse study data and the consequently high uncertainty around the estimates restricted our ability to demonstrate statistical significance in the studied subgroups.
CONCLUSIONS
Data limitations are apparent when conducting an informative indirect comparison for the HA and RES RRMS subgroups as the subgroups analyses were retrospective analyses of studies powered to indicate differences across entire study populations. Comparisons across treatments in HA or RES RRMS will be associated with high levels of uncertainty until new data are collected for these subgroups.
Topics: Dimethyl Fumarate; Female; Fingolimod Hydrochloride; Humans; Immunologic Factors; Immunosuppressive Agents; Male; Multiple Sclerosis, Relapsing-Remitting; Natalizumab; Recurrence; Severity of Illness Index
PubMed: 28283486
DOI: 10.1136/bmjopen-2016-013430 -
Current Medical Research and Opinion Mar 2017The introduction of disease-modifying therapies (DMTs) - with varying degrees of efficacy for reducing annual relapse rate and disability progression - has considerably... (Review)
Review
OBJECTIVE
The introduction of disease-modifying therapies (DMTs) - with varying degrees of efficacy for reducing annual relapse rate and disability progression - has considerably transformed the therapeutic landscape of relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS). We aim to develop rational evidence-based treatment recommendations and algorithms for the management of clinically isolated syndrome (CIS) and RRMS that conform to the healthcare system in a fast-developing economic country such as Qatar.
RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS
We conducted a systematic review using a comprehensive search of MEDLINE, PubMed, and Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews (1 January 1990 through 30 September 2016). Additional searches of the American Academy of Neurology and European Committee for Treatment and Research in Multiple Sclerosis abstracts from 2012 through 2016 were performed, in addition to searches of the Food and Drug Administration and European Medicines Agency websites to obtain relevant safety information on these DMTs.
RESULTS
For each of the DMTs, the mode of action, efficacy, safety and tolerability are briefly discussed. To facilitate the interpretation, the efficacy data of the pivotal phase III trials are expressed by their most clinically useful measure of therapeutic efficacy, the number needed to treat (NNT). In addition, an overview of head-to-head trials in RRMS is provided as well as a summary of the several different RRMS management strategies (lateral switching, escalation, induction, maintenance and combination therapy) and the potential role of each DMT. Finally, algorithms were developed for CIS, active and highly active or rapidly evolving RRMS and subsequent breakthrough disease or suboptimal treatment response while on DMTs. The benefit-to-risk profiles of the DMTs, taking into account patient preference, allowed the provision of rational and safe patient-tailored treatment algorithms.
CONCLUSIONS
Recommendations and algorithms for the management of CIS and RRMS have been developed relevant to the healthcare system of this fast-developing economic country.
Topics: Alemtuzumab; Antibodies, Monoclonal, Humanized; Daclizumab; Dimethyl Fumarate; Fingolimod Hydrochloride; Humans; Immunoglobulin G; Interferons; Multiple Sclerosis, Relapsing-Remitting; Qatar
PubMed: 27892723
DOI: 10.1080/03007995.2016.1261818 -
Multiple Sclerosis and Related Disorders Sep 2016Randomised studies have demonstrated efficacy of disease-modifying therapies in relapsing remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS). However it is unclear how the magnitude of... (Comparative Study)
Comparative Study Meta-Analysis Review
INTRODUCTION
Randomised studies have demonstrated efficacy of disease-modifying therapies in relapsing remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS). However it is unclear how the magnitude of treatment efficacy varies across all currently available therapies.
OBJECTIVE
To perform a systematic review and network meta-analysis to evaluate the comparative efficacy of available therapies in reducing relapses and disability progression in RRMS.
METHODS
A systematic review identified 28 randomised, placebo-controlled and direct comparative trials. A network meta-analysis was conducted within a Bayesian framework to estimate comparative annualised relapse rates (ARR) and risks of disability progression (defined by both a 3-month, and 6-month confirmation interval). Potential sources of treatment-effect modification from study-level covariates and baseline risk were evaluated through meta-regression methods. The Surface Under the Cumulative RAnking curve (SUCRA) method was used to provide a ranking of treatments for each outcome.
RESULTS
The magnitude of ARR reduction varied between 15-36% for all interferon-beta products, glatiramer acetate and teriflunomide, and from 50 to 69% for alemtuzumab, dimethyl fumarate, fingolimod and natalizumab. The risk of disability progression (3-month) was reduced by 19-28% with interferon-beta products, glatiramer acetate, fingolimod and teriflunomide, by 38-45% for pegylated interferon-beta, dimethyl fumarate and natalizumab and by 68% with alemtuzumab. Broadly similar estimates for the risk of disability progression (6-month), with the exception of interferon-beta-1b 250mcg which was much more efficacious based on this definition. Alemtuzumab and natalizumab had the highest SUCRA scores (97% and 95% respectively) for ARR, while ranking for disability progression varied depending on the definition of the outcome. Interferon-beta-1b 250mcg ranked among the most efficacious treatments for disability progression confirmed after six months (92%) and among the least efficacious when the outcome was confirmed after three months (30%). No significant modification of relative treatment effects was identified from study-level covariates or baseline risk.
CONCLUSION
Compared with placebo, clear reductions in ARR with disease-modifying therapies were accompanied by more uncertain changes in disability progression. The magnitude of the reduction and the uncertainty associated with treatment effects varied between DMTs. While natalizumab and alemtuzumab demonstrated consistently high ranking across outcomes, with older interferon-beta and glatiramer acetate products ranking lowest, variation in disability progression definitions lead to variation in the relative ranking of treatments. Rigorously conducted comparative studies are required to fully evaluate the comparative treatment effects of disease modifying therapies for RRMS.
Topics: Humans; Multiple Sclerosis, Relapsing-Remitting; Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic
PubMed: 27645339
DOI: 10.1016/j.msard.2016.06.001 -
CNS Drugs Oct 2016This study aimed to test the number needed to treat to benefit (NNTB) and to harm (NNTH), and the likelihood to be helped or harmed (LHH) when assessing benefits, risks,... (Meta-Analysis)
Meta-Analysis Review
Benefit-Risk of Therapies for Relapsing-Remitting Multiple Sclerosis: Testing the Number Needed to Treat to Benefit (NNTB), Number Needed to Treat to Harm (NNTH) and the Likelihood to be Helped or Harmed (LHH): A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.
OBJECTIVE
This study aimed to test the number needed to treat to benefit (NNTB) and to harm (NNTH), and the likelihood to be helped or harmed (LHH) when assessing benefits, risks, and benefit-risk ratios of disease-modifying treatments (DMTs) approved for relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS).
METHODS
In May 2016, we conducted a systematic review using the PubMed and Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials databases to identify phase III, randomized controlled trials with a duration of ≥2 years that assessed first-line (dimethyl fumarate [DMF], glatiramer acetate [GA], β-interferons [IFN], and teriflunomide) or second-line (alemtuzumab, fingolimod, and natalizumab) DMTs in patients with RRMS. Meta-analyses were performed to estimate relative risks (RRs) on annualized relapse rate (ARR), proportion of relapse-free patients (PPR-F), disability progression (PP-F-CDPS3M), and safety outcomes. NNTB and NNTH values were calculated applying RRs to control event rates. LHH was calculated as NNTH/NNTB ratio.
RESULTS
The lowest NNTBs on ARR, PPR-F, and PP-F-CDPS3M were found with IFN-β-1a-SC (NNTB 3, 95 % CI 2-4; NNTB 7, 95 % CI 4-18; NNTB 4, 95 % CI 3-7, respectively) and natalizumab (NNTB 2, 95 % CI 2-3; NNTB 4, 95 % CI 3-6; NNTB 9, 95 % CI 6-19, respectively). The lowest NNTH on adverse events leading to treatment discontinuation was found with IFN-β-1b (NNTH 14, 95 % 2-426) versus placebo; a protective effect was noted with alemtuzumab versus IFN-β-1a-SC (NNTB 22, 95 % 17-41). LHHs >1 were more frequent with IFN-β-1a-SC and natalizumab.
CONCLUSIONS
These metrics may be valuable for benefit-risk assessments, as they reflect baseline risks and are easily interpreted. Before making treatment decisions, clinicians must acknowledge that a higher RR reduction with drug A as compared with drug B (versus a common comparator in trial A and trial B, respectively) does not necessarily mean that the number of patients needed to be treated for one patient to encounter one aditional outcome of interest over a defined period of time is lower with drug A than with drug B. Overall, IFN-β-1a-SC and natalizumab seem to have the most favorable benefit-risk ratios among first- and second-line DMTs, respectively.
Topics: Humans; Immunologic Factors; Multiple Sclerosis, Relapsing-Remitting; Risk Assessment
PubMed: 27538416
DOI: 10.1007/s40263-016-0377-9