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JCO Clinical Cancer Informatics Jun 2024The estimation of prognosis and life expectancy is critical in the care of patients with advanced cancer. To aid clinical decision making, we build a prognostic strategy...
PURPOSE
The estimation of prognosis and life expectancy is critical in the care of patients with advanced cancer. To aid clinical decision making, we build a prognostic strategy combining a machine learning (ML) model with explainable artificial intelligence to predict 1-year survival after palliative radiotherapy (RT) for bone metastasis.
MATERIALS AND METHODS
Data collected in the multicentric PRAIS trial were extracted for 574 eligible adults diagnosed with metastatic cancer. The primary end point was the overall survival (OS) at 1 year (1-year OS) after the start of RT. Candidate covariate predictors consisted of 13 clinical and tumor-related pre-RT patient characteristics, seven dosimetric and treatment-related variables, and 45 pre-RT laboratory variables. ML models were developed and internally validated using the Python package. The effectiveness of each model was evaluated in terms of discrimination. A Shapley Additive Explanations (SHAP) explainability analysis to infer the global and local feature importance and to understand the reasons for correct and misclassified predictions was performed.
RESULTS
The best-performing model for the classification of 1-year OS was the extreme gradient boosting algorithm, with AUC and F1-score values equal to 0.805 and 0.802, respectively. The SHAP technique revealed that higher chance of 1-year survival is associated with low values of interleukin-8, higher values of hemoglobin and lymphocyte count, and the nonuse of steroids.
CONCLUSION
An explainable ML approach can provide a reliable prediction of 1-year survival after RT in patients with advanced cancer. The implementation of SHAP analysis provides an intelligible explanation of individualized risk prediction, enabling oncologists to identify the best strategy for patient stratification and treatment selection.
Topics: Humans; Machine Learning; Bone Neoplasms; Palliative Care; Male; Female; Prognosis; Aged; Middle Aged; Algorithms
PubMed: 38917384
DOI: 10.1200/CCI.24.00027 -
PloS One 2024Births at advanced maternal ages (≥ 35 years) are increasing. This has been associated with a higher incidence of placenta previa, which increases bleeding risk....
BACKGROUND
Births at advanced maternal ages (≥ 35 years) are increasing. This has been associated with a higher incidence of placenta previa, which increases bleeding risk. Hybrid operating rooms, designed to accommodate interventions and cesarean sections, are becoming more prominent because of their dual capabilities and benefits. However, they have been associated with increased postoperative hypothermia in pediatric settings; moreover, this has not been studied in pregnant women with placenta previa.
METHODS
This retrospective cohort study included pregnant women diagnosed with placenta previa who underwent elective cesarean section under general anesthesia between May 2019 and 2023. The patients were categorized according to the operating room type. The primary outcome was to determine whether the hybrid operating room is a risk factor for immediate postoperative hypothermia, defined as a tympanic membrane temperature below 36.0°C. The secondary outcomes were the effects of immediate postoperative hypothermia on the durations of postanesthetic care unit and postoperative hospital stays and incidence of complications.
RESULTS
Immediate postoperative hypothermia (tympanic membrane temperature < 36.0°C) was more prevalent in the hybrid than in the standard operating room group (20% vs. 36.6%, p = 0.033), with a relative risk of 2.86 (95% confidence interval 1.24-6.64, p < 0.001). Patients undergoing surgery in the hybrid operating room who experienced immediate postoperative hypothermia stayed longer in the postanesthetic care unit (26 min vs. 40 min, p < 0.001) and in the hospital after surgery (4 days; range 3-5 vs. 4 days; range 4-11, p = 0.021). However, the complication rates of both groups were not significantly different (11.3% vs 7.3%, p = 0.743).
CONCLUSION
Hybrid operating rooms may increase the risk of postoperative hypothermia. Postoperative hypothermia is associated with prolonged postanesthetic care unit and hospital stays. Preventing hypothermia in patients in hybrid operating rooms is of utmost importance.
Topics: Humans; Female; Pregnancy; Hypothermia; Retrospective Studies; Operating Rooms; Adult; Postoperative Complications; Cesarean Section; Risk Factors; Placenta Previa; Anesthesia, General
PubMed: 38917215
DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0305951 -
PloS One 2024The aim of this study was to evaluate the impact of intravenous palonosetron compared to ondansetron on hypotension induced by spinal anesthesia in women undergoing... (Randomized Controlled Trial)
Randomized Controlled Trial
BACKGROUND
The aim of this study was to evaluate the impact of intravenous palonosetron compared to ondansetron on hypotension induced by spinal anesthesia in women undergoing cesarean section.
METHODS
Fifty-four women scheduled for elective cesarean section were, randomly allocated to ondansetron group (n = 27) or palonosetron group (n = 27). Ten minutes prior to the administration of spinal anesthesia, participants received an intravenous injection of either ondansetron or palonosetron. A prophylactic phenylephrine infusion was initiated immediately following the intrathecal administration of bupivacaine and fentanyl. The infusion rate was titrated to maintain adequate blood pressure until the time of fetal delivery. The primary outcome was total dose of phenylephrine administered. The secondary outcomes were nausea or vomiting, the need for rescue antiemetics, hypotension, bradycardia, and shivering. Complete response rate, defined as the absence of postoperative nausea and vomiting and no need for additional antiemetics, were assessed for up to 24 hours post-surgery.
RESULTS
No significant differences were observed in the total dose of phenylephrine used between the ondansetron and palonosetron groups (387.5 μg [interquartile range, 291.3-507.8 μg versus 428.0 μg [interquartile range, 305.0-507.0 μg], P = 0.42). Complete response rates also showed no significant differences between the groups both within two hours post-spinal anesthesia (88.9% in the ondansetron group versus 100% in the palonosetron group; P = 0.24) and at 24 hours post-surgery (81.5% in the ondansetron group versus 88.8% in the palonosetron group; P = 0.7). In addition, there was no difference in other secondary outcomes.
CONCLUSION
Prophylactic administration of palonosetron did not demonstrate a superior effect over ondansetron in mitigating hemodynamic changes or reducing phenylephrine requirements in patients undergoing spinal anesthesia with bupivacaine and fentanyl for cesarean section.
Topics: Humans; Female; Anesthesia, Spinal; Cesarean Section; Palonosetron; Adult; Hypotension; Pregnancy; Ondansetron; Antiemetics; Postoperative Nausea and Vomiting; Phenylephrine; Anesthesia, Obstetrical
PubMed: 38917195
DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0305913 -
PloS One 2024Post-induction hypotension (PIH) often occurs during general anesthesia induction. This study aimed to investigate blood catecholamine levels during induction of general...
Changes in blood catecholamines during induction of general anesthesia in patients with post-induction hypotension undergoing laparoscopic cholecystectomy: A single-center prospective cohort study.
BACKGROUND
Post-induction hypotension (PIH) often occurs during general anesthesia induction. This study aimed to investigate blood catecholamine levels during induction of general anesthesia in patients with PIH undergoing laparoscopic cholecystectomy.
METHODS
This prospective study included 557 adult patients who underwent laparoscopic cholecystectomy under general anesthesia. PIH was defined as a greater than 20% decrease in systolic blood pressure from the pre-induction value, a systolic arterial pressure of less than 90 mmHg, or both. Plasma concentrations of epinephrine and norepinephrine during the induction of general anesthesia were determined using enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay. Multivariate logistic regression analysis evaluated the association between the clinical factors and PIH.
RESULTS
Of the 557 patients, 390 had PIH, and the remaining 167 were allocated to the non-PIH group. Changes in blood adrenaline, noradrenaline levels, or both were more pronounced in the PIH than in the non-PIH group (p<0.05). Age, body mass index, a history of hypertension, preoperative systolic blood pressure, and propofol or sufentanil dose were independent predictors of PIH.
CONCLUSION
The changes of blood catecholamines in patients with more stable hemodynamics during the induction of general anesthesia are smaller than that in patients with post-induction hypotension.
TRIAL REGISTRATION
ChiCTR2200055549, 12/01/2022.
Topics: Humans; Cholecystectomy, Laparoscopic; Male; Female; Anesthesia, General; Middle Aged; Prospective Studies; Hypotension; Adult; Catecholamines; Blood Pressure; Aged; Norepinephrine; Epinephrine
PubMed: 38917102
DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0305980 -
JAMA Network Open Jun 2024Centralizing deceased organ donor management and organ recovery into donor care units (DCUs) may mitigate the critical organ shortage by positively impacting donation... (Comparative Study)
Comparative Study
IMPORTANCE
Centralizing deceased organ donor management and organ recovery into donor care units (DCUs) may mitigate the critical organ shortage by positively impacting donation and recipient outcomes.
OBJECTIVE
To compare donation and lung transplant outcomes between 2 common DCU models: independent (outside of acute-care hospitals) and hospital-based.
DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS
This is a retrospective cohort study of Organ Procurement and Transplantation Network deceased donor registry and lung transplant recipient files from 21 US donor service areas with an operating DCU. Characteristics and lung donation rates among deceased donors cared for in independent vs hospital-based DCUs were compared. Eligible participants included deceased organ donors (aged 16 years and older) after brain death, who underwent organ recovery procedures between April 26, 2017, and June 30, 2022, and patients who received lung transplants from those donors. Data analysis was conducted from May 2023 to March 2024.
EXPOSURE
Organ recovery in an independent DCU (vs hospital-based DCU).
MAIN OUTCOME AND MEASURES
The primary outcome was duration of transplanted lung survival (through December 31, 2023) among recipients of lung(s) transplanted from cohort donors. A Cox proportional hazards model stratified by transplant year and program, adjusting for donor and recipient characteristics was used to compare graft survival.
RESULTS
Of 10 856 donors in the starting sample (mean [SD] age, 42.8 [15.2] years; 6625 male [61.0%] and 4231 female [39.0%]), 5149 (primary comparison group) underwent recovery procedures in DCUs including 1466 (28.4%) in 11 hospital-based DCUs and 3683 (71.5%) in 10 independent DCUs. Unadjusted lung donation rates were higher in DCUs than local hospitals, but lower in hospital-based vs independent DCUs (418 donors [28.5%] vs 1233 donors [33.5%]; P < .001). Among 1657 transplant recipients, 1250 (74.5%) received lung(s) from independent DCUs. Median (range) duration of follow-up after transplant was 734 (0-2292) days. Grafts recovered from independent DCUs had shorter restricted mean (SE) survival times than grafts from hospital-based DCUs (1548 [27] days vs 1665 [50] days; P = .04). After adjustment, graft failure remained higher among lungs recovered from independent DCUs than hospital-based DCUs (hazard ratio, 1.85; 95% CI, 1.28-2.65).
CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE
In this retrospective analysis of national donor and transplant recipient data, although lung donation rates were higher from deceased organ donors after brain death cared for in independent DCUs, lungs recovered from donors in hospital-based DCUs survived longer. These findings suggest that further work is necessary to understand which factors (eg, donor transfer, management, or lung evaluation and acceptance practices) differ between DCU models and may contribute to these differences.
Topics: Humans; Lung Transplantation; Male; Female; Retrospective Studies; Middle Aged; Adult; Tissue and Organ Procurement; Tissue Donors; Transplant Recipients; United States; Registries; Graft Survival
PubMed: 38916893
DOI: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2024.17107 -
JAMA Network Open Jun 2024The ELEKT-D: Electroconvulsive Therapy (ECT) vs Ketamine in Patients With Treatment Resistant Depression (TRD) (ELEKT-D) trial demonstrated noninferiority of intravenous... (Randomized Controlled Trial)
Randomized Controlled Trial
IMPORTANCE
The ELEKT-D: Electroconvulsive Therapy (ECT) vs Ketamine in Patients With Treatment Resistant Depression (TRD) (ELEKT-D) trial demonstrated noninferiority of intravenous ketamine vs ECT for nonpsychotic TRD. Clinical features that can guide selection of ketamine vs ECT may inform shared decision-making for patients with TRD.
OBJECTIVE
To evaluate whether selected clinical features were associated with differential improvement with ketamine vs ECT.
DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS
This secondary analysis of an open-label noninferiority randomized clinical trial was a multicenter study conducted at 5 US academic medical centers from April 7, 2017, to November 11, 2022. Analyses for this study, which were not prespecified in the trial protocol, were conducted from May 10 to Oct 31, 2023. The study cohort included patients with TRD, aged 21 to 75 years, who were in a current nonpsychotic depressive episode of at least moderate severity and were referred for ECT by their clinicians.
EXPOSURES
Eligible participants were randomized 1:1 to receive either 6 infusions of ketamine or 9 treatments with ECT over 3 weeks.
MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES
Association between baseline factors (including 16-item Quick Inventory of Depressive Symptomatology Self-Report [QIDS-SR16], Montgomery-Asberg Depression Rating Scale [MADRS], premorbid intelligence, cognitive function, history of attempted suicide, and inpatient vs outpatient status) and treatment response were assessed with repeated measures mixed-effects model analyses.
RESULTS
Among the 365 participants included in this study (mean [SD] age, 46.0 [14.5] years; 191 [52.3%] female), 195 were randomized to the ketamine group and 170 to the ECT group. In repeated measures mixed-effects models using depression levels over 3 weeks and after false discovery rate adjustment, participants with a baseline QIDS-SR16 score of 20 or less (-7.7 vs -5.6 points) and those starting treatment as outpatients (-8.4 vs -6.2 points) reported greater reduction in the QIDS-SR16 with ketamine vs ECT. Conversely, those with a baseline QIDS-SR16 score of more than 20 (ie, very severe depression) and starting treatment as inpatients reported greater reduction in the QIDS-SR16 earlier in course of treatment (-8.4 vs -6.7 points) with ECT, but scores were similar in both groups at the end-of-treatment visit (-9.0 vs -9.9 points). In the ECT group only, participants with higher scores on measures of premorbid intelligence (-14.0 vs -11.2 points) and with a comorbid posttraumatic stress disorder diagnosis (-16.6 vs -12.0 points) reported greater reduction in the MADRS score. Those with impaired memory recall had greater reduction in MADRS during the second week of treatment (-13.4 vs -9.6 points), but the levels of MADRS were similar to those with unimpaired recall at the end-of-treatment visit (-14.3 vs -12.2 points). Other results were not significant after false discovery rate adjustment.
CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE
In this secondary analysis of the ELEKT-D randomized clinical trial of ECT vs ketamine, greater improvement in depression was observed with intravenous ketamine among outpatients with nonpsychotic TRD who had moderately severe or severe depression, suggesting that these patients may consider ketamine over ECT for TRD.
Topics: Humans; Ketamine; Electroconvulsive Therapy; Female; Male; Middle Aged; Depressive Disorder, Treatment-Resistant; Adult; Aged; Treatment Outcome
PubMed: 38916891
DOI: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2024.17786 -
JAMA Network Open Jun 2024Spinal cord injury (SCI) causes drastic changes to an individual's physical health that may be associated with the ability to work.
IMPORTANCE
Spinal cord injury (SCI) causes drastic changes to an individual's physical health that may be associated with the ability to work.
OBJECTIVE
To estimate the association of SCI with individual earnings and employment status using national administrative health databases linked to income tax data.
DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS
This was a retrospective, national, population-based cohort study of adults who were hospitalized with cervical SCI in Canada between January 2005 and December 2017. All acute care hospitalizations for SCI of adults ages 18 to 64 years were included. A comparison group was constructed by sampling from individuals in the injured cohort. Fiscal information from their preinjury years was used for comparison. The injured cohort was matched with the comparison group based on age, sex, marital status, province of residence, self-employment status, earnings, and employment status in the year prior to injury. Data were analyzed from August 2022 to January 2023.
MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES
The first outcome was the change in individual annual earnings up to 5 years after injury. The change in mean yearly earnings was assessed using a linear mixed-effects differences-in-differences regression. Income values are reported in 2022 Canadian dollars (CAD $1.00 = US $0.73). The second outcome was the change in employment status up to 5 years after injury. A multivariable probit regression model was used to compare proportions of individuals employed among those who had experienced SCI and the paired comparison group of participants.
RESULTS
A total of 1630 patients with SCI (mean [SD] age, 47 [13] years; 1304 male [80.0%]) were matched to patients in a preinjury comparison group (resampled from the same 1630 patients in the SCI group). The mean (SD) of preinjury wage earnings was CAD $46 000 ($48 252). The annual decline in individual earnings was CAD $20 275 (95% CI, -$24 455 to -$16 095) in the first year after injury and CAD $20 348 (95% CI, -$24 710 to -$15 985) in the fifth year after injury. At 5 years after injury, 52% of individuals who had an injury were working compared with 79% individuals in the preinjury comparison group. SCI survivors had a decrease in employment of 17.1 percentage points (95% CI, 14.5 to 19.7 percentage points) in the first year after injury and 17.8 percentage points (14.5 to 21.1 percentage points) in the fifth year after injury.
CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE
In this study, SCI was associated with a decline in earnings and employment up to 5 years after injury for adults aged 18 to 64 years in Canada.
Topics: Humans; Spinal Cord Injuries; Male; Female; Adult; Employment; Middle Aged; Income; Retrospective Studies; Canada; Young Adult; Adolescent; Cervical Cord
PubMed: 38916890
DOI: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2024.18468 -
Critical Care Explorations Jul 2024While cytokine response patterns are pivotal in mediating immune responses, they are also often dysregulated in sepsis and critical illness. We hypothesized that these... (Observational Study)
Observational Study
OBJECTIVES
While cytokine response patterns are pivotal in mediating immune responses, they are also often dysregulated in sepsis and critical illness. We hypothesized that these immunological deficits, quantifiable through ex vivo whole blood stimulation assays, may be indicative of subsequent organ dysfunction.
DESIGN
In a prospective observational study, adult septic patients and critically ill but nonseptic controls were identified within 48 hours of critical illness onset. Using a rapid, ex vivo assay based on responses to lipopolysaccharide (LPS), anti-CD3/anti-CD28 antibodies, and phorbol 12-myristate 13-acetate with ionomycin, cytokine responses to immune stimulants were quantified. The primary outcome was the relationship between early cytokine production and subsequent organ dysfunction, as measured by the Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score on day 3 of illness (SOFAd3).
SETTING
Patients were recruited in an academic medical center and data processing and analysis were done in an academic laboratory setting.
PATIENTS
Ninety-six adult septic and critically ill nonseptic patients were enrolled.
INTERVENTIONS
None.
MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS
Elevated levels of tumor necrosis factor and interleukin-6 post-endotoxin challenge were inversely correlated with SOFAd3. Interferon-gamma production per lymphocyte was inversely related to organ dysfunction at day 3 and differed between septic and nonseptic patients. Clustering analysis revealed two distinct immune phenotypes, represented by differential responses to 18 hours of LPS stimulation and 4 hours of anti-CD3/anti-CD28 stimulation.
CONCLUSIONS
Our rapid immune profiling technique offers a promising tool for early prediction and management of organ dysfunction in critically ill patients. This information could be pivotal for early intervention and for preventing irreversible organ damage during the acute phase of critical illness.
Topics: Humans; Prospective Studies; Critical Illness; Sepsis; Male; Female; Middle Aged; Multiple Organ Failure; Aged; Organ Dysfunction Scores; Adult; Cytokines; Cohort Studies; Predictive Value of Tests; Lipopolysaccharides
PubMed: 38916619
DOI: 10.1097/CCE.0000000000001106 -
Frontiers in Cellular Neuroscience 2024
PubMed: 38915874
DOI: 10.3389/fncel.2024.1440772 -
Drug Design, Development and Therapy 2024Nerve injury is a serious complication of percutaneous endoscopic transforaminal lumbar discectomy due to nerve root contact. The maximum tolerable concentration (MTC)...
Determining the Maximum Tolerable Concentration of Ropivacaine to Maintain Sensation of the Nerve Root in Percutaneous Endoscopic Transforaminal Lumbar Discectomy: Can Epidural Anaesthesia Achieve Pain-Tactile Separation Block to Avoid Nerve Injury?
INTRODUCTION
Nerve injury is a serious complication of percutaneous endoscopic transforaminal lumbar discectomy due to nerve root contact. The maximum tolerable concentration (MTC) of ropivacaine concentration for epidural anaesthesia, is defined as the concentration that minimises pain while preserving the sensation of the nerve roots. This distinct advantage allows the patient to provide feedback to the surgeon when the nerve roots are contacted.
METHODS
We used a biased-coin design to determine the MTC, which was estimated by the 10% effective concentration (EC), ie, the concentration at which 10% of patients lost sensation in the nerve roots. The determinant for positive response was lack of sensory feedback upon contact with the nerve root, and the feedback from occurrence of sensations in the innervation area upon contact with the nerve root was defined as a negative response. Primary outcome was the response from contact nerve root. Secondary outcomes were the type and number of statements of negative response and each patient's pain score during surgery.
RESULTS
Fifty-four patients were included in this study. The EC was 0.434% (95% CI: 0.410%, 0.440%) using isotonic regression in comparison with 0.431% (95% CI: 0.399%, 0.444%) using probit regression. Three type statements of negative response were reported including "tactile sensation", radiculalgia, and numbness.
CONCLUSION
The MTC of ropivacaine used for epidural anaesthesia was 0.434% to avoid nerve injury in percutaneous endoscopic transforaminal lumbar discectomy.
Topics: Ropivacaine; Humans; Male; Middle Aged; Female; Lumbar Vertebrae; Adult; Anesthetics, Local; Anesthesia, Epidural; Diskectomy, Percutaneous; Endoscopy; Spinal Nerve Roots; Dose-Response Relationship, Drug; Sensation; Aged
PubMed: 38915867
DOI: 10.2147/DDDT.S451980