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The Lancet. Public Health Jul 2024Some cohort studies have reported a decline in dementia prevalence and incidence over time, although these findings have not been consistent across studies. We reviewed...
BACKGROUND
Some cohort studies have reported a decline in dementia prevalence and incidence over time, although these findings have not been consistent across studies. We reviewed evidence on changes in dementia prevalence and incidence over time using published population-based cohort studies that had used consistent methods with each wave and aimed to quantify associated changes in risk factors over time using population attributable fractions (PAFs).
METHODS
We searched for systematic reviews of cohort studies examining changes in dementia prevalence or incidence over time. We searched PubMed for publications from database inception up to Jan 12, 2023, using the search terms "systematic review" AND "dementia" AND ("prevalence" OR "incidence"), with no language restrictions. We repeated this search on March 28, 2024. From eligible systematic reviews, we searched the references and selected peer-reviewed publications about cohort studies where dementia prevalence or incidence was measured in the same geographical location, at a minimum of two timepoints, and that reported age-standardised prevalence or incidence of dementia. Additionally, data had to be from population-based samples, in which participants' cognitive status was assessed and where validated criteria were used to diagnose dementia. We extracted summary-level data from each paper about dementia risk factors, contacting authors when such data were not available in the published paper, and calculated PAFs for each risk factor at all available timepoints. Where possible, we linked changes in dementia prevalence or incidence with changes in the prevalence of risk factors.
FINDINGS
We identified 1925 records in our initial search, of which five eligible systematic reviews were identified. Within these systematic reviews, we identified 71 potentially eligible primary papers, of which 27 were included in our analysis. 13 (48%) of 27 primary papers reported change in prevalence of dementia, ten (37%) reported change in incidence of dementia, and four (15%) reported change in both incidence and prevalence of dementia. Studies reporting change in dementia incidence over time in Europe (n=5) and the USA (n=5) consistently reported a declining incidence in dementia. One study from Japan reported an increase in dementia prevalence and incidence and a stable incidence was reported in one study from Nigeria. Overall, across studies, the PAFs for less education or smoking, or both, generally declined over time, whereas PAFs for obesity, hypertension, and diabetes generally increased. The decrease in PAFs for less education and smoking was associated with a decline in the incidence of dementia in the Framingham study (Framingham, MA, USA, 1997-2013), the only study with sufficient data to allow analysis.
INTERPRETATION
Our findings suggest that lifestyle interventions such as compulsory education and reducing rates of smoking through country-level policy changes could be associated with an observed reduction, and therefore future reduction, in the incidence of dementia. More studies are needed in low-income and middle-income countries, where the burden of dementia is highest, and continues to increase.
FUNDING
National Institute for Health and Care Research Three Schools' Dementia Research Programme.
Topics: Humans; Dementia; Incidence; Risk Factors; Prevalence; Cohort Studies
PubMed: 38942556
DOI: 10.1016/S2468-2667(24)00120-8 -
Medicine Jun 2024Frailty has been identified as a risk factor for adverse outcomes in older adults with diabetes. This study aimed to investigate the impact of frailty on the prognosis... (Meta-Analysis)
Meta-Analysis
BACKGROUND
Frailty has been identified as a risk factor for adverse outcomes in older adults with diabetes. This study aimed to investigate the impact of frailty on the prognosis of older adults with diabetes through a systematic review and meta-analysis, with the goal of offering insights for clinical decision-making.
METHODS
PubMed, Web of Science, Embase, Cochrane were systematically searched from inception to September 10th, 2023. Reviewers independently selected studies, extracted data and evaluated the quality of studies. Stata 15.1 Software was used to perform the meta-analysis. The primary outcomes of this study were mortality, hospitalization and disability, and the secondary outcomes were diabetes complications (including nephropathy, microvascular complications, macroangiopathy, cardiovascular events, hypoglycemia) and urolithiasis.
RESULTS
A total of 14 studies were included in this study, with low risk of bias and moderate to good quality. The results showed that frailty increased the risk of mortality (HR 1.91, 95% CI 1.55-2.35, P < .001), hospitalization (HR 2.19, 95% CI 1.53-3.13, P < .001), and disability in older adults with diabetes (HR 3.84, 95% CI 2.35-6.28, P < .001). In addition, frailty was associated with diabetes complications (including nephropathy, microvascular complications, macroangiopathy, cardiovascular events, hypoglycemia), urolithiasis.
CONCLUSIONS
Frailty is an important predictor of adverse outcomes, such as mortality, hospitalization, and disability in older adults with diabetes. Accurate assessment of the frailty in older adults with diabetes can help improve the adverse outcomes of patients.
Topics: Humans; Aged; Frailty; Hospitalization; Diabetes Complications; Diabetes Mellitus; Risk Factors; Prognosis; Frail Elderly; Aged, 80 and over; Female; Male
PubMed: 38941383
DOI: 10.1097/MD.0000000000038621 -
Anatolian Journal of Cardiology Jul 2024Women are often neglected in cardiovascular health prevention. Age at menarche (AAM) has been linked to cardiovascular (CVD) disease in women and is potentially... (Meta-Analysis)
Meta-Analysis
BACKGROUND
Women are often neglected in cardiovascular health prevention. Age at menarche (AAM) has been linked to cardiovascular (CVD) disease in women and is potentially identified as one of the significant CVD risk factor. However, there is still limited comprehensive evidence addressing this issue. This systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to investigate how early menarche affects the outcome of all-cause mortality, CVD mortality, total cardiovascular disease event, stroke (ischemic, hemorrhagic, and total stroke), and coronary heart disease (CHD).
METHOD
The Cochrane Library, MEDLINE, Embase, ScienceDirect, and Google Scholar databases were searched from March 2013 to March 2023 for cohorts investigating the effect of early onset of menarche on CVD events with a minimum follow-up period of 5 years. Studies that observed specific population and/or included women with a history of CVD at baseline were excluded. The Newcastle-Ottawa scale was used for risk of bias assessment for each cohort included. The data were presented as dichotomous measure using risk ratios. I2 statistics were utilized to evaluate the heterogeneity of presented data.
RESULTS
Thirteen cohorts included 18 626 799 female patients with ages ranging from 43 to 62.6 years. These reported 6 estimates each for CHD (5 483 298 patients) and all-cause mortality (1 595 878 patients), 5 estimates each for total stroke (2 941 321 patients) and CVD mortality (1 706 742 patients), 4 estimates each for total CVD events (3 988 311 patients) and ischemic stroke (2 434 580 patients), and 1 estimate for hemorrhagic stroke (66 104 patients). Our study found that events of CHD were significantly lower in early menarche (RR 0.57; 95% CI 0.41-0.78; P <.00001), as well as total stroke (RR 0.51; 95% CI 0.35-0.73; P =.0003), CVD mortality (RR 0.47; 95% CI 0.22-0.98; P =.04), total CVD events (RR 0.44; 95% CI 0.25-0.76; P =.003), ischemic stroke (RR 0.31; 95% CI 0.15-0.61; P <.0008), and hemorrhagic stroke (RR 0.12; 95% CI 0.07-0.20; P <.00001); and insignificantly higher in all-cause mortality (RR 0.90, 95% CI 0.76-1.06, P =.20).
CONCLUSION
In our study, cardiovascular events are lower in women with early menarche; hence, the later age of menarche is a potential risk factor to be considered when assessing CVD risk in a patient. However, our sample characteristics were heterogenous, and we did not consider other female hormonal factors that might potentially contribute to the CVD outcomes observed; thus, further studies are needed to clarify.
Topics: Humans; Female; Menarche; Cardiovascular Diseases; Risk Factors; Protective Factors; Age Factors; Middle Aged
PubMed: 38940409
DOI: 10.14744/AnatolJCardiol.2024.3996 -
Renal Failure Dec 2024To estimate the predictors, prevalence and prognostic role of pulmonary hypertension (PH) in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) using meta-analysis. (Meta-Analysis)
Meta-Analysis Review
BACKGROUND
To estimate the predictors, prevalence and prognostic role of pulmonary hypertension (PH) in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) using meta-analysis.
METHODS
The PubMed, EmBase, and the Cochrane library were systematically searched for eligible studies from inception till May 2024. All of pooled analyses were performed using the random-effects model.
RESULTS
Fifty observational studies involving 17,558 CKD patients were selected. The prevalence of PH in CKD patients was 38% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 33%-43%), and the prevalence according to CKD status were 31% (95% CI: 20%-42%) for CKD (I-V), 39% (95% CI: 25%-54%) for end stage kidney disease (ESKD) (predialysis), 42% (95% CI: 35%-50%) for ESKD (hemodialysis), and 26% (95% CI: 19%-34%) for renal transplant. We noted the risk factors for PH in CKD included Black individuals (relative risk [RR]: 1.39; 95% CI: 1.18-1.63; < 0.001), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (RR: 1.48; 95% CI: 1.21-1.82; < 0.001), cardiovascular disease history (RR: 1.62; 95% CI: 1.05-2.51; = 0.030), longer dialysis (RR: 1.70; 95% CI: 1.18-2.46; = 0.005), diastolic dysfunction (RR: 1.88; 95% CI: 1.38-2.55; < 0.001), systolic dysfunction (RR: 3.75; 95% CI: 2.88-4.87; < 0.001), and grade 5 CKD (RR: 5.64; 95% CI: 3.18-9.98; < 0.001). Moreover, PH in CKD patients is also associated with poor prognosis, including all-cause mortality, major cardiovascular events, and cardiac death.
CONCLUSION
This study systematically identified risk factors for PH in CKD patients, and PH were associated with poor prognosis. Therefore, patients with high prevalence of PH should be identified for treatment.
Topics: Humans; Hypertension, Pulmonary; Renal Insufficiency, Chronic; Prevalence; Prognosis; Risk Factors; Renal Dialysis; Observational Studies as Topic
PubMed: 38938193
DOI: 10.1080/0886022X.2024.2368082 -
Translational Psychiatry Jun 2024Suicide is a leading cause of death among adolescents, and recent suicide theories have sought to clarify the factors that facilitate the transition from suicide... (Review)
Review
Suicide is a leading cause of death among adolescents, and recent suicide theories have sought to clarify the factors that facilitate the transition from suicide ideation to action. Specifically, the Interpersonal Theory of Suicide (IPTS), Integrated Motivational-Volitional Model (IMV), and Three Step Theory (3ST) have highlighted risk factors central to the formation of suicidal ideation and suicidal behaviors, which is necessary for suicide death. However, these models were initially developed and tested among adults, and given core socioemotional and neurodevelopmental differences in adolescents, the applicability of these models remains unclear. Directly addressing this gap in knowledge, this systematic review aimed to (1) describe the evidence of leading ideation-to-action theories (i.e., IPTS, IMV, 3ST) as they relate to suicide risk among adolescents, (2) integrate ideation-to-action theories within prevailing biological frameworks of adolescent suicide, and (3) provide recommendations for future adolescent suicide research. Overall, few studies provided a complete test of models in adolescent samples, and empirical research testing components of these theories provided mixed support. Future research would benefit from integrating neurodevelopmental and developmentally sensitive psychosocial frameworks to increase the applicability of ideation-to-action theories to adolescents. Further, utilizing real-time monitoring approaches may serve to further clarify the temporal association among risk factors and suicide.
Topics: Humans; Adolescent; Suicidal Ideation; Suicide, Attempted; Risk Factors; Psychological Theory; Adolescent Behavior; Models, Psychological
PubMed: 38937430
DOI: 10.1038/s41398-024-02914-y -
The Lancet. Oncology Jul 2024Systematic evaluations of cancer risk in people living with HIV or AIDS (PLHIV) and solid organ transplant recipients provide unique insights into the role of the immune... (Meta-Analysis)
Meta-Analysis
BACKGROUND
Systematic evaluations of cancer risk in people living with HIV or AIDS (PLHIV) and solid organ transplant recipients provide unique insights into the role of the immune system in cancer development. In this systematic review and meta-analysis, we expand previous analyses of cancer risk for these two immunocompromised populations.
METHODS
We considered studies published in English and listed on PubMed or Embase up to July 1, 2022. Studies were eligible for inclusion if they used population-based registries and compared cancer incidence in PLHIV or solid organ transplant recipients with the general population in the same geographical area. We extracted the number of observed site-specific cancers and expected cases and calculated meta-standardised incidence ratios for cancer within PLHIV and solid organ transplant recipients. In solid organ transplant recipients meta-standardised incidence ratios were compared by organ type. This project is registered on PROSPERO, CRD42022366679.
FINDINGS
46 studies in PLHIV and 67 in solid organ transplant recipients were included in the analysis. Meta-standardised incidence ratios for cancers associated with human papillomavirus were increased in both populations; the highest meta-standardised incidence ratio in PLHIV was anal cancer (37·28 [95% CI 23·65-58·75], I=97·4%), and in solid organ transplant recipients was cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma (45·87 [31·70-66·38], I=99·0%). Meta-standardised incidence ratios were significantly increased for most non-HPV viral-infection-related cancers in both populations; the highest standard incidence ratios were for Kaposi sarcoma (PLHIV: 801·52 [95% CI 200·25-3208·13], I=100·0%; solid organ transplant recipients: 47·31 [23·09-96·95], I=87·7%) and non-Hodgkin lymphoma (32·53 [19·64-53·87], I=99·8%; 10·24 [8·48-12·35], I=94·9%). Eight types of cancer with no known viral cause showed an increased risk in solid organ transplant recipients only; no cancer type showed increased risk in PLHIV only.
INTERPRETATION
Cancer risk was increased for a range of infection-related cancers in both PLHIV and solid organ transplant recipients, but divergent results in these and other cancers have emerged. The cancer risk patterns probably reflect variances in the degree of impaired immunity, exposure to carcinogenic viruses, and perhaps exposure to carcinogenic immunosuppressive agents.
FUNDING
US National Cancer Institute, National Institutes of Health.
Topics: Humans; Organ Transplantation; HIV Infections; Neoplasms; Incidence; Transplant Recipients; Immunocompromised Host; Risk Factors; Risk Assessment; Female; Male
PubMed: 38936380
DOI: 10.1016/S1470-2045(24)00189-X -
Medical Mycology Jun 2024In response to the growing global threat of fungal infections, in 2020 the World Health Organisation (WHO) established an Expert Group to identify priority fungi and...
In response to the growing global threat of fungal infections, in 2020 the World Health Organisation (WHO) established an Expert Group to identify priority fungi and develop the first WHO fungal priority pathogen list (FPPL). The aim of this systematic review was to evaluate the features and global impact of invasive infections caused by Pichia kudriavzevii (formerly known as Candida krusei). PubMed and Web of Science were used to identify studies published between 1 January 2011 and 18 February 2021 reporting on the criteria of mortality, morbidity (defined as hospitalisation and length of stay), drug resistance, preventability, yearly incidence, and distribution/emergence. Overall, 33 studies were evaluated. Mortality rates of up to 67% in adults were reported. Despite the intrinsic resistance of P. kudriavzevii to fluconazole with decreased susceptibility to amphotericin B, resistance (or non-wild-type rate) to other azoles and echinocandins was low, ranging between 0 and 5%. Risk factors for developing P. kudriavzevii infections included low birth weight, prior use of antibiotics/antifungals, and an underlying diagnosis of gastrointestinal disease or cancer. The incidence of infections caused by P. kudriavzevii is generally low (∼5% of all Candida-like blood isolates) and stable over the 10-year timeframe, although additional surveillance data are needed. Strategies targeting the identified risk factors for developing P. kudriavzevii infections should be developed and tested for effectiveness and feasibility of implementation. Studies presenting data on epidemiology and susceptibility of P. kudriavzevii were scarce, especially in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). Thus, global surveillance systems are required to monitor the incidence, susceptibility, and morbidity of P. kudriavzevii invasive infections to inform diagnosis and treatment. Timely species-level identification and susceptibility testing should be conducted to reduce the high mortality and limit the spread of P. kudriavzevii in healthcare facilities.
Topics: Humans; Drug Resistance, Fungal; Antifungal Agents; World Health Organization; Pichia; Incidence; Risk Factors; Candidiasis
PubMed: 38935911
DOI: 10.1093/mmy/myad132 -
Medical Mycology Jun 2024This systematic review evaluates the current global impact of invasive infections caused by Pneumocystis jirovecii (principally pneumonia: PJP), and was carried out to...
Features and global impact of invasive fungal infections caused by Pneumocystis jirovecii: A systematic review to inform the World Health Organization fungal priority pathogens list.
This systematic review evaluates the current global impact of invasive infections caused by Pneumocystis jirovecii (principally pneumonia: PJP), and was carried out to inform the World Health Organization Fungal Priority Pathogens List. PubMed and Web of Science were used to find studies reporting mortality, inpatient care, complications/sequelae, antifungal susceptibility/resistance, preventability, annual incidence, global distribution, and emergence in the past 10 years, published from January 2011 to February 2021. Reported mortality is highly variable, depending on the patient population: In studies of persons with HIV, mortality was reported at 5%-30%, while in studies of persons without HIV, mortality ranged from 4% to 76%. Risk factors for disease principally include immunosuppression from HIV, but other types of immunosuppression are increasingly recognised, including solid organ and haematopoietic stem cell transplantation, autoimmune and inflammatory disease, and chemotherapy for cancer. Although prophylaxis is available and generally effective, burdensome side effects may lead to discontinuation. After a period of decline associated with improvement in access to HIV treatment, new risk groups of immunosuppressed patients with PJP are increasingly identified, including solid organ transplant patients.
Topics: Humans; Pneumocystis carinii; Invasive Fungal Infections; World Health Organization; Immunocompromised Host; Risk Factors; Global Health; Pneumonia, Pneumocystis; Antifungal Agents; Incidence
PubMed: 38935910
DOI: 10.1093/mmy/myae038 -
Medical Mycology Jun 2024Recognizing the growing global burden of fungal infections, the World Health Organization established a process to develop a priority list of fungal pathogens (FPPL). In...
Recognizing the growing global burden of fungal infections, the World Health Organization established a process to develop a priority list of fungal pathogens (FPPL). In this systematic review, we aimed to evaluate the epidemiology and impact of invasive infections caused by Aspergillus fumigatus to inform the first FPPL. The pre-specified criteria of mortality, inpatient care, complications and sequelae, antifungal susceptibility, risk factors, preventability, annual incidence, global distribution, and emergence were used to search for relevant articles between 1 January 2016 and 10 June 2021. Overall, 49 studies were eligible for inclusion. Azole antifungal susceptibility varied according to geographical regions. Voriconazole susceptibility rates of 22.2% were reported from the Netherlands, whereas in Brazil, Korea, India, China, and the UK, voriconazole susceptibility rates were 76%, 94.7%, 96.9%, 98.6%, and 99.7%, respectively. Cross-resistance was common with 85%, 92.8%, and 100% of voriconazole-resistant A. fumigatus isolates also resistant to itraconazole, posaconazole, and isavuconazole, respectively. The incidence of invasive aspergillosis (IA) in patients with acute leukemia was estimated at 5.84/100 patients. Six-week mortality rates in IA cases ranged from 31% to 36%. Azole resistance and hematological malignancy were poor prognostic factors. Twelve-week mortality rates were significantly higher in voriconazole-resistant than in voriconazole-susceptible IA cases (12/22 [54.5%] vs. 27/88 [30.7%]; P = .035), and hematology patients with IA had significantly higher mortality rates compared with solid-malignancy cases who had IA (65/217 [30%] vs. 14/78 [18%]; P = .04). Carefully designed surveillance studies linking laboratory and clinical data are required to better inform future FPPL.
Topics: Humans; Aspergillus fumigatus; Antifungal Agents; Aspergillosis; World Health Organization; Drug Resistance, Fungal; Voriconazole; Incidence; Microbial Sensitivity Tests; Invasive Fungal Infections; Risk Factors
PubMed: 38935907
DOI: 10.1093/mmy/myad129 -
Medical Mycology Jun 2024In response to the growing global burden of fungal infections with uncertain impact, the World Health Organization (WHO) established an Expert Group to identify priority...
In response to the growing global burden of fungal infections with uncertain impact, the World Health Organization (WHO) established an Expert Group to identify priority fungal pathogens and establish the WHO Fungal Priority Pathogens List for future research. This systematic review aimed to evaluate the features and global impact of invasive candidiasis caused by Candida tropicalis. PubMed and Web of Science were searched for studies reporting on criteria of mortality, morbidity (defined as hospitalization and disability), drug resistance, preventability, yearly incidence, diagnostics, treatability, and distribution/emergence from 2011 to 2021. Thirty studies, encompassing 436 patients from 25 countries were included in the analysis. All-cause mortality due to invasive C. tropicalis infections was 55%-60%. Resistance rates to fluconazole, itraconazole, voriconazole and posaconazole up to 40%-80% were observed but C. tropicalis isolates showed low resistance rates to the echinocandins (0%-1%), amphotericin B (0%), and flucytosine (0%-4%). Leukaemia (odds ratio (OR) = 4.77) and chronic lung disease (OR = 2.62) were identified as risk factors for invasive infections. Incidence rates highlight the geographic variability and provide valuable context for understanding the global burden of C. tropicalis infections. C. tropicalis candidiasis is associated with high mortality rates and high rates of resistance to triazoles. To address this emerging threat, concerted efforts are needed to develop novel antifungal agents and therapeutic approaches tailored to C. tropicalis infections. Global surveillance studies could better inform the annual incidence rates, distribution and trends and allow informed evaluation of the global impact of C. tropicalis infections.
Topics: Candida tropicalis; Humans; Antifungal Agents; World Health Organization; Drug Resistance, Fungal; Candidiasis, Invasive; Incidence; Global Health; Risk Factors
PubMed: 38935905
DOI: 10.1093/mmy/myae040