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The Lancet. Digital Health Jul 2024Pulmonary complications are the most common cause of death after surgery. This study aimed to derive and externally validate a novel prognostic model that can be used...
A prognostic model for use before elective surgery to estimate the risk of postoperative pulmonary complications (GSU-Pulmonary Score): a development and validation study in three international cohorts.
BACKGROUND
Pulmonary complications are the most common cause of death after surgery. This study aimed to derive and externally validate a novel prognostic model that can be used before elective surgery to estimate the risk of postoperative pulmonary complications and to support resource allocation and prioritisation during pandemic recovery.
METHODS
Data from an international, prospective cohort study were used to develop a novel prognostic risk model for pulmonary complications after elective surgery in adult patients (aged ≥18 years) across all operation and disease types. The primary outcome measure was postoperative pulmonary complications at 30 days after surgery, which was a composite of pneumonia, acute respiratory distress syndrome, and unexpected mechanical ventilation. Model development with candidate predictor variables was done in the GlobalSurg-CovidSurg Week dataset (global; October, 2020). Two structured machine learning techniques were explored (XGBoost and the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator [LASSO]), and the model with the best performance (GSU-Pulmonary Score) underwent internal validation using bootstrap resampling. The discrimination and calibration of the score were externally validated in two further prospective cohorts: CovidSurg-Cancer (worldwide; February to August, 2020, during the COVID-19 pandemic) and RECON (UK and Australasia; January to October, 2019, before the COVID-19 pandemic). The model was deployed as an online web application. The GlobalSurg-CovidSurg Week and CovidSurg-Cancer studies were registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT04509986 and NCT04384926.
FINDINGS
Prognostic models were developed from 13 candidate predictor variables in data from 86 231 patients (1158 hospitals in 114 countries). External validation included 30 492 patients from CovidSurg-Cancer (726 hospitals in 75 countries) and 6789 from RECON (150 hospitals in three countries). The overall rates of pulmonary complications were 2·0% in derivation data, and 3·9% (CovidSurg-Cancer) and 4·7% (RECON) in the validation datasets. Penalised regression using LASSO had similar discrimination to XGBoost (area under the receiver operating curve [AUROC] 0·786, 95% CI 0·774-0·798 vs 0·785, 0·772-0·797), was more explainable, and required fewer covariables. The final GSU-Pulmonary Score included ten predictor variables and showed good discrimination and calibration upon internal validation (AUROC 0·773, 95% CI 0·751-0·795; Brier score 0·020, calibration in the large [CITL] 0·034, slope 0·954). The model performance was acceptable on external validation in CovidSurg-Cancer (AUROC 0·746, 95% CI 0·733-0·760; Brier score 0·036, CITL 0·109, slope 1·056), but with some miscalibration in RECON data (AUROC 0·716, 95% CI 0·689-0·744; Brier score 0·045, CITL 1·040, slope 1·009).
INTERPRETATION
This novel prognostic risk score uses simple predictor variables available at the time of a decision for elective surgery that can accurately stratify patients' risk of postoperative pulmonary complications, including during SARS-CoV-2 outbreaks. It could inform surgical consent, resource allocation, and hospital-level prioritisation as elective surgery is upscaled to address global backlogs.
FUNDING
National Institute for Health Research.
Topics: Humans; Elective Surgical Procedures; Postoperative Complications; Female; Prognosis; Middle Aged; Male; Prospective Studies; Aged; COVID-19; Risk Assessment; Adult; Machine Learning; Risk Factors; Lung Diseases; Cohort Studies
PubMed: 38906616
DOI: 10.1016/S2589-7500(24)00065-7 -
Disability and Health Journal Jun 2024More than seven million people with intellectual and/or developmental disabilities (ID/DD) live in the US and may face an elevated risk for COVID-19.
BACKGROUND
More than seven million people with intellectual and/or developmental disabilities (ID/DD) live in the US and may face an elevated risk for COVID-19.
OBJECTIVE
To identify correlates of COVID-19 and related hospitalizations among people with ID/DD in group homes in Massachusetts.
METHODS
We collected data during March 1, 2020-June 30, 2020 (wave 1) and July 1, 2020-March 31, 2021 (wave 2) from the Massachusetts Department of Public Health and six organizations administering 206 group homes for 1035 residents with ID/DD. The main outcomes were COVID-19 infections and related hospitalizations. We fit multilevel Cox proportional hazards models to estimate associations with observed predictors and assess contextual home- and organizational-level effects.
RESULTS
Compared with Massachusetts residents, group home residents had a higher age-adjusted rate of COVID-19 in wave 1 (incidence rate ratio [IRR], 12.06; 95 % confidence interval [CI], 10.51-13.84) and wave 2 (IRR, 2.47; 95 % CI, 2.12-2.88) and a higher age-adjusted rate of COVID-19 hospitalizations in wave 1 (IRR, 17.64; 95 % CI, 12.59-24.70) and wave 2 (IRR, 4.95; 95 % CI, 3.23-7.60). COVID-19 infections and hospitalizations were more likely among residents aged 65+ and in group homes with 6+ resident beds and recent infection among staff and residents.
CONCLUSIONS
Aggressive efforts to decrease resident density, staff-to-resident ratios, and staff infections through efforts such as vaccination, in addition to ongoing access to personal protective equipment and COVID-19 testing, may reduce COVID-19 and related hospitalizations in people with ID/DD living in group homes.
PubMed: 38879412
DOI: 10.1016/j.dhjo.2024.101645 -
CPT: Pharmacometrics & Systems... Jun 2024Zavegepant is a novel gepant administered as a nasal spray approved in the United States at a 10 mg dose for the acute treatment of migraine with or without aura in... (Randomized Controlled Trial)
Randomized Controlled Trial
Zavegepant is a novel gepant administered as a nasal spray approved in the United States at a 10 mg dose for the acute treatment of migraine with or without aura in adults. The cardiovascular safety of zavegepant nasal spray was assessed in both single-ascending dose (SAD) and multiple-ascending dose (MAD) studies in healthy participants. The SAD study included 72 participants (54 active/18 placebo) who received 0.1-40 mg zavegepant or placebo. The MAD study included 72 participants (56 active/16 placebo) who received 5-40 mg zavegepant or placebo for 1-14 days. Plasma zavegepant pharmacokinetics and electrocardiographic (ECG) parameters (Fridericia-corrected QT interval [QTcF], heart rate, PR interval, ventricular depolarization [QRS], T-wave morphology, and U-wave presence) were analyzed pre- and post-zavegepant administration. Using pooled data from the SAD and MAD studies, the relationship between time-matched plasma zavegepant concentrations and QTc interval was assessed using a linear mixed-effects model to evaluate the potential for QTc interval prolongation. Results showed that single and multiple doses of zavegepant had no significant impact on ECG parameters versus placebo, and there was no concentration-dependent effect on QTcF interval. The estimated slope of the plasma zavegepant concentration-QTcF model was -0.053 ms per ng/mL with a 90% confidence interval of -0.0955 to -0.0110 (p = 0.0415), which is not considered clinically meaningful. At doses up to four times the recommended daily dose, zavegepant does not prolong the QT interval to any clinically relevant extent.
Topics: Humans; Male; Electrocardiography; Adult; Female; Healthy Volunteers; Nasal Sprays; Heart Rate; Double-Blind Method; Young Adult; Dose-Response Relationship, Drug; Middle Aged; Azepines; Administration, Intranasal; Long QT Syndrome; Adolescent
PubMed: 38812357
DOI: 10.1002/psp4.13140 -
BMC Pediatrics May 2024Donohue syndrome (DS), also referred to as leprechaunism, is a remarkably uncommon autosomal recessive disorder that primarily affects the endocrine system. Its...
INTRODUCTION
Donohue syndrome (DS), also referred to as leprechaunism, is a remarkably uncommon autosomal recessive disorder that primarily affects the endocrine system. Its incidence rate is exceedingly low, with only 1 case reported per 4 million live births. The syndrome is distinguished by a series of characteristic clinical features.
CASE PRESENTATION
We present a case of a twenty-month-old male with DS who experienced a range of dysmorphic and clinical features with the involvement of multiple systems. These features include skin hyperpigmentation, hypertrichosis, distinct facial features, abdominal distension, and microcephaly, with the involvement of the endocrine, renal, respiratory, and cardiac systems.
CONCLUSION
The primary features of DS involve severe insulin resistance and growth abnormalities, the association with pulmonary hypertension (PHTN) has not been reported before. This finding adds more complexity to the condition. To the best of the author's knowledge, this is the first report for a patient with DS who has PHTN. Further investigation is required since the mechanisms behind the development of PHTN in DS are not entirely understood. Shedding light on this association will contribute to better management strategies and outcomes for affected patients.
Topics: Humans; Male; Hypertension, Pulmonary; Infant; Donohue Syndrome
PubMed: 38773407
DOI: 10.1186/s12887-024-04714-1 -
Nature Immunology Apr 2024One in ten severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 infections result in prolonged symptoms termed long coronavirus disease (COVID), yet disease phenotypes and...
One in ten severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 infections result in prolonged symptoms termed long coronavirus disease (COVID), yet disease phenotypes and mechanisms are poorly understood. Here we profiled 368 plasma proteins in 657 participants ≥3 months following hospitalization. Of these, 426 had at least one long COVID symptom and 233 had fully recovered. Elevated markers of myeloid inflammation and complement activation were associated with long COVID. IL-1R2, MATN2 and COLEC12 were associated with cardiorespiratory symptoms, fatigue and anxiety/depression; MATN2, CSF3 and C1QA were elevated in gastrointestinal symptoms and C1QA was elevated in cognitive impairment. Additional markers of alterations in nerve tissue repair (SPON-1 and NFASC) were elevated in those with cognitive impairment and SCG3, suggestive of brain-gut axis disturbance, was elevated in gastrointestinal symptoms. Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2-specific immunoglobulin G (IgG) was persistently elevated in some individuals with long COVID, but virus was not detected in sputum. Analysis of inflammatory markers in nasal fluids showed no association with symptoms. Our study aimed to understand inflammatory processes that underlie long COVID and was not designed for biomarker discovery. Our findings suggest that specific inflammatory pathways related to tissue damage are implicated in subtypes of long COVID, which might be targeted in future therapeutic trials.
Topics: Humans; Post-Acute COVID-19 Syndrome; COVID-19; Biomedical Research; Hospitalization; Immunoglobulin G
PubMed: 38589621
DOI: 10.1038/s41590-024-01778-0 -
International Journal of Molecular... Mar 2024Rabson-Mendenhall syndrome (RMS) is a rare autosomal recessive disorder characterized by severe insulin resistance, resulting in early-onset diabetes mellitus. We report...
Rabson-Mendenhall syndrome (RMS) is a rare autosomal recessive disorder characterized by severe insulin resistance, resulting in early-onset diabetes mellitus. We report the first case of RMS in a Paraguayan patient. The patient is a 6-year-old girl who presented with hypertrichosis, acanthosis nigricans, nephrocalcinosis, and elevated levels of glucose and insulin that served as diagnostic indicators for RMS. Genetic testing by next-generation sequencing (NGS) revealed two pathogenic variants in exons 2 and 19 of the gene: c.332G>T (p.Gly111Val) and c.3485C>T (p.Ala1162Val), in combined heterozygosis. The novel c. 332G>T variant leads to the substitution of glycine to valine at position 111 in the protein, and multiple in silico software programs predicted it as pathogenic. The c.3485C>T variant leads to the substitution of alanine to valine at position 1162 in the protein previously described for insulin resistance and RMS. The management of RMS is particularly challenging in children, and the use of metformin is often limited by its side effects. The patient was managed with nutritional measures due to the early age of onset. This report expands the knowledge of RMS to the Paraguayan population and adds a novel pathogenic variant to the existing literature.
Topics: Child; Female; Humans; Donohue Syndrome; Insulin Resistance; Receptor, Insulin; Mutation; Valine; Antigens, CD
PubMed: 38542117
DOI: 10.3390/ijms25063143 -
Cell Stem Cell Mar 2024Thalamic dysfunction has been implicated in multiple psychiatric disorders. We sought to study the mechanisms by which abnormalities emerge in the context of the 22q11.2...
Thalamic dysfunction has been implicated in multiple psychiatric disorders. We sought to study the mechanisms by which abnormalities emerge in the context of the 22q11.2 microdeletion, which confers significant genetic risk for psychiatric disorders. We investigated early stages of human thalamus development using human pluripotent stem cell-derived organoids and show that the 22q11.2 microdeletion underlies widespread transcriptional dysregulation associated with psychiatric disorders in thalamic neurons and glia, including elevated expression of FOXP2. Using an organoid co-culture model, we demonstrate that the 22q11.2 microdeletion mediates an overgrowth of thalamic axons in a FOXP2-dependent manner. Finally, we identify ROBO2 as a candidate molecular mediator of the effects of FOXP2 overexpression on thalamic axon overgrowth. Together, our study suggests that early steps in thalamic development are dysregulated in a model of genetic risk for schizophrenia and contribute to neural phenotypes in 22q11.2 deletion syndrome.
Topics: Humans; Schizophrenia; DiGeorge Syndrome; Phenotype
PubMed: 38382530
DOI: 10.1016/j.stem.2024.01.010 -
Clinical Transplantation Jan 2024Experience with lung transplantation (LT) in patients with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) is limited. Many studies have demonstrated the success of kidney and liver...
BACKGROUND
Experience with lung transplantation (LT) in patients with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) is limited. Many studies have demonstrated the success of kidney and liver transplantation in HIV-seropositive (HIV+) patients. Our objective was to conduct a national registry analysis comparing LT outcomes in HIV+ to HIV-seronegative (HIV-) recipients.
METHODS
The United Network for Organ Sharing database was queried to identify LTs performed in adult HIV+ patients between 2016 and 2023. Patients with unknown HIV status, multiorgan transplants, and redo transplants were excluded. The primary endpoints were mortality and graft rejection. Survival time was analyzed using Kaplan-Meier analysis.
RESULTS
The study included 17 487 patients, 67 of whom were HIV+. HIV+ recipients were younger (59 vs. 62 years, p = .02), had higher pulmonary arterial pressure (28 vs. 25 mm Hg, p = .04), and higher lung allocation scores (47 vs. 41, p = .01) relative to HIV- recipients. There were no differences in graft/recipient survival time between groups. HIV+ recipients had higher rates of post-transplant dialysis (18% vs. 8.4%, p = .01), but otherwise had similar post-transplant outcomes to HIV-recipients.
CONCLUSIONS
This national registry analysis suggests LT outcomes in HIV+ patients are not inferior to outcomes in HIV- patients and that well-selected HIV+ recipients can achieve comparable patient and graft survival rates relative to HIV- recipients.
Topics: Adult; Humans; HIV; Graft Survival; Lung Transplantation; Registries; Graft Rejection; HIV Infections
PubMed: 38289885
DOI: 10.1111/ctr.15246 -
Development (Cambridge, England) Feb 2024The renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system (RAAS) plays a well-characterized role regulating blood pressure in mammals. Pharmacological and genetic manipulation of the...
The renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system (RAAS) plays a well-characterized role regulating blood pressure in mammals. Pharmacological and genetic manipulation of the RAAS has been shown to extend lifespan in Caenorhabditis elegans, Drosophila and rodents, but its mechanism is not well defined. Here, we investigate the angiotensin-converting enzyme (ACE) inhibitor drug captopril, which extends lifespan in worms and mice. To investigate the mechanism, we performed a forward genetic screen for captopril-hypersensitive mutants. We identified a missense mutation that causes a partial loss of function of the daf-2 receptor tyrosine kinase gene, a powerful regulator of aging. The homologous mutation in the human insulin receptor causes Donohue syndrome, establishing these mutant worms as an invertebrate model of this disease. Captopril functions in C. elegans by inhibiting ACN-1, the worm homolog of ACE. Reducing the activity of acn-1 via captopril or RNA interference promoted dauer larvae formation, suggesting that acn-1 is a daf gene. Captopril-mediated lifespan extension was abrogated by daf-16(lf) and daf-12(lf) mutations. Our results indicate that captopril and acn-1 influence lifespan by modulating dauer formation pathways. We speculate that this represents a conserved mechanism of lifespan control.
Topics: Animals; Humans; Mice; Captopril; Caenorhabditis elegans; Angiotensin-Converting Enzyme Inhibitors; Caenorhabditis elegans Proteins; Aging; Longevity; Receptor, Insulin; Mutation; Mammals
PubMed: 38284547
DOI: 10.1242/dev.202146