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Frontiers in Immunology 2023To identify the risk factors associated with prognosis in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) treated with immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICI) via meta-analysis.... (Meta-Analysis)
Meta-Analysis
Development and validation of prognostic risk prediction models for hepatocellular carcinoma patients treated with immune checkpoint inhibitors based on a systematic review and meta-analysis of 47 cohorts.
OBJECTIVE
To identify the risk factors associated with prognosis in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) treated with immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICI) via meta-analysis. And to construct prediction models to aid in the prediction and improvement of prognosis.
METHODS
We searched PubMed, Embase, Web of Science and Cochrane Library for relevant studies from inception to March 29, 2023. After completing literature screening and data extraction, we performed meta-analysis, sensitivity analysis, and subgroup analysis to identify risk factors associated with OS and PFS. Using the pooled hazard ratio value for each risk factor, we constructed prediction models, which were then validated using datasets from 19 centers in Japan and two centers in China, comprising a total of 204 patients.
RESULTS
A total of 47 studies, involving a total of 7649 ICI-treated HCC patients, were included in the meta-analysis. After analyzing 18 risk factors, we identified AFP, ALBI, NLR, ECOG performance status, Child-Pugh stage, BCLC stage, tumor number, vascular invasion and combination therapy as predictors for OS prediction model, while AFP, ALBI, NLR, ECOG performance status, Child-Pugh stage, BCLC stage, tumor number and vascular invasion were selected as predictors for PFS model. To validate the models, we scored two independent cohorts of patients using both prediction models. Our models demonstrated good performance in these cohorts. In addition, in the pooled cohort of 204 patients, Our models also showed good performance with area under the curve (AUC) values of 0.712, 0.753, and 0.822 for the OS prediction model at 1-year, 2-year, and 3-year follow-up points, respectively, and AUC values of 0.575, 0.749 and 0.691 for the PFS prediction model Additionally, the calibration curve, decision curve analysis, and Kaplan-Meier curves in the pooled cohort all supported the validity of both models.
CONCLUSION
Based on the meta-analysis, we successfully constructed the OS and PFS prediction models for ICI-treated HCC patients. We also validated the models externally and observed good discrimination and calibration. The model's selected indicators are easily obtainable, making them suitable for further application in clinical practice.
Topics: Humans; Carcinoma, Hepatocellular; Prognosis; Immune Checkpoint Inhibitors; Liver Neoplasms; alpha-Fetoproteins
PubMed: 37520554
DOI: 10.3389/fimmu.2023.1215745 -
International Journal of Molecular... Mar 2023This systematic review aimed to assess the prognostic significance of programmed cell death-ligand 1 (PDL-1) and programmed cell death protein 1 (PD-1) in hepatocellular... (Meta-Analysis)
Meta-Analysis Review
Navigating through the PD-1/PDL-1 Landscape: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Clinical Outcomes in Hepatocellular Carcinoma and Their Influence on Immunotherapy and Tumor Microenvironment.
This systematic review aimed to assess the prognostic significance of programmed cell death-ligand 1 (PDL-1) and programmed cell death protein 1 (PD-1) in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Medline, EMBASE, and Cochrane Library database searches were conducted, revealing nine relevant cohort studies (seven PDL-1 and three PD-1). Our meta-analysis showed that PD-1/PDL-1 was a marker of poor survival, regardless of the assessment method (PD-1 overall survival (OS): hazard ratio (HR) 2.40; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.30-4.42; disease-free survival (DFS): HR 2.12; 95% CI, 1.45-3.10; PDL-1: OS: HR 3.61; 95% CI, 2.75-4.75; and DFS: HR 2.74; 95% CI, 2.09-3.59). Additionally, high level of PD-1/PDL-1 expression was associated with aging, multiple tumors, high alpha-fetoprotein levels, and advanced Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage. This high level significantly predicted a poor prognosis for HCC, suggesting that anti-PD-1 therapy is plausible for patients with HCC. Furthermore, HIF-1 induces PD-1 expression, and PD1SOCS3 is associated with a better prognosis. Taken together, combination therapy may be the key to effective immunotherapy. Thus, exploring other markers, such as HIF-1 and SOCS3, along with PD-1/PDL-1 immunotherapy, may lead to improved outcomes.
Topics: Humans; B7-H1 Antigen; Biomarkers, Tumor; Carcinoma, Hepatocellular; Immunotherapy; Ligands; Liver Neoplasms; Tumor Microenvironment; Programmed Cell Death 1 Receptor
PubMed: 37047482
DOI: 10.3390/ijms24076495 -
Cancers Apr 2023Hepatobiliary cancers are notoriously difficult to detect, frequently leading to diagnosis in later stages of disease when curative treatment is not an option. The... (Review)
Review
BACKGROUND
Hepatobiliary cancers are notoriously difficult to detect, frequently leading to diagnosis in later stages of disease when curative treatment is not an option. The currently used biomarkers such as AFP (alpha-fetoprotein) and CA19.9 lack sensitivity and specificity. Hence, there is an unmet need for an alternative biomarker.
AIM
To evaluate the diagnostic accuracy of volatile organic compounds (VOCs) for the detection of hepatobiliary and pancreatic cancers.
METHODS
A systematic review of VOCs' use in the detection of hepatobiliary and pancreatic cancers was performed. A meta-analysis was performed using the software R. Heterogeneity was explored through meta-regression analysis.
RESULTS
A total of 18 studies looking at 2296 patients were evaluated. Pooled sensitivity and specificity of VOCs for the detection of hepatobiliary and pancreatic cancer were 0.79 (95% CI, 0.72-0.85) and 0.81 (97.5% CI, 0.76-0.85), respectively. The area under the curve was 0.86. Meta-regression analysis showed that the sample media used contributed to heterogeneity. Bile-based VOCs showed the highest precision values, although urine and breath are preferred for their feasibility.
CONCLUSIONS
Volatile organic compounds have the potential to be used as an adjunct tool to aid in the early diagnosis of hepatobiliary cancers.
PubMed: 37190235
DOI: 10.3390/cancers15082308 -
Cancer Cell International Apr 2022Delayed cancer diagnosis and inefficient cancer prognosis determination are problems faced in cancer diagnosis and treatment. MicroRNAs (miRs), especially miR-212, have... (Review)
Review
BACKGROUND
Delayed cancer diagnosis and inefficient cancer prognosis determination are problems faced in cancer diagnosis and treatment. MicroRNAs (miRs), especially miR-212, have shown a promise in cancer diagnosis and prognosis. Herein, we performed a systematic review and meta-analysis to assess the prognostic and diagnostic value of miR-212 level in cancer and evaluated its association with patient characteristics.
METHODS
A fully electronic literature search using related keywords was performed in PubMed, Scopus, Web of Science, Embase, and ScienceDirect databases by June 6, 2021, with no time or language restriction. Meta-analysis was performed to pool survival prognosis data using hazard ratio (HR), association using odds ratio (OR), and diagnostic data using sensitivity, specificity, and diagnostic odds ratio (DOR). Sub-group analysis and meta-regression were performed as appropriate.
RESULTS
Results of 28 studies on 1880 patients showed a poor cancer prognosis with high levels of miR-212 in pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC, HR = 2.451 [1.447-4.149]), and a poor cancer prognosis with low levels of miR-212 in other cancers (HR = 2.514 [2.162-2.923]). Higher alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) level and Edmondson-Steiner grade were factors associated with miR-212 low level incidence. Diagnostic odds ratio 10.688 (3.644-31.348) and SROC AUC of 0.84 confirmed high diagnostic performance of miR-212.
CONCLUSION
Our systematic review and meta-analysis results confirm miR-212 high value in cancer prognosis and diagnosis. High level of miR-212 showed poor prognosis in PDAC and low level of miR-212 showed poor prognosis in other cancers. in conclusion, miR-212 could be a novel potential biomarker in cancer diagnosis and prognosis.
PubMed: 35473623
DOI: 10.1186/s12935-022-02584-0 -
European Journal of Surgical Oncology :... Mar 2022Many prognostic models for Hepatocellular Carcinoma (HCC) have been developed to inform patients and doctors about individual prognosis. Previous reviews of these models... (Meta-Analysis)
Meta-Analysis Review
BACKGROUND
Many prognostic models for Hepatocellular Carcinoma (HCC) have been developed to inform patients and doctors about individual prognosis. Previous reviews of these models were qualitative and did not assess performance at external validation. We assessed the performance of prognostic models for HCC and set a benchmark for biomarker studies.
METHODS
All externally validated models predicting survival for patients with resected HCC were systematically reviewed. After selection, we extracted descriptive statistics and aggregated c-indices using meta-analysis.
RESULTS
Thirty-eight validated prognostic models were included. Models used on average 7 (IQR:4-9) prognostic factors. Tumor size, tumor number, and vascular invasion were almost always included. Alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) was commonly incorporated since 2007. Recently, the more subjective items ascites and encephalopathy have been dropped. Eight established models performed poor to moderate at external validation, with a pooled C-index below 0.7; including the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) system, the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) 7th edition, the Cancer of the Liver Italian (CLIP) Program, and the Japan Integrated Staging (JIS) score. Out of 24 prognostic models predicting OS, only 6 (25%) had good performance at external validation with pooled C-indices above 0.7; the Li-post (0.77), Li-OS (0.74), Yang-pre (0.74), Yang-post (0.76), Shanghai-score (0.70), and Wang-nomogram (0.71). Models improved over time, but overall performance and study quality remained low.
CONCLUSIONS
Six validated prognostic models demonstrated good performance for predicting survival after resection of HCC. These models can guide patients and doctors and are a benchmark for future models incorporating novel biomarkers.
Topics: Biomarkers; Carcinoma, Hepatocellular; China; Humans; Liver Neoplasms; Neoplasm Staging; Prognosis
PubMed: 34602315
DOI: 10.1016/j.ejso.2021.09.012 -
Molecular and Clinical Oncology Jan 2015This study was conducted to determine the prognostic value of serum α-fetoprotein (AFP) levels in patients with ovarian yolk sac tumor (OYST). We performed a systematic...
This study was conducted to determine the prognostic value of serum α-fetoprotein (AFP) levels in patients with ovarian yolk sac tumor (OYST). We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis to assess the associations between serum AFP level and prognosis in OYST. A total of 12 quantitative studies met the inclusion criteria. Preoperative AFP was not found to be associated with overall survival (OS) [odds ratio (OR)=0.84, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.43-1.62] in OYST. However, a high postoperative AFP level was associated with worse OS (OR=0.16, 95% CI: 0.05-0.48) and relapse-free survival (RFS) (OR=0.18, 95% CI: 0.08-0.43) compared to a low postoperative AFP level in patients with OYST. In addition, a postoperative AFP level of >1,000 ng/ml was associated with a decrease in OS (OR=0.16, 95% CI: 0.05-0.50) and RFS (OR=0.21, 95% CI: 0.08-0.57). In conclusion, the postoperative, but not the preoperative, AFP level was found to be a prognostic factor in patients with OYST. In particular, a postoperative AFP level of >1,000 ng/ml was an indicator of poor prognosis in patients with OYST.
PubMed: 25469282
DOI: 10.3892/mco.2014.417 -
Cancers Jul 2021This systematic review and meta-analysis was performed to explore overall survival (OS) and event free survival (EFS) rates internationally over the past two decades and... (Review)
Review
OBJECTIVE
This systematic review and meta-analysis was performed to explore overall survival (OS) and event free survival (EFS) rates internationally over the past two decades and to define specific subgroups with inferior outcomes which may demand different treatment strategies.
METHODS
The search focused on malignant extracranial germ cell tumours (GCTs) in the paediatric population. The initial database search identified 12,556 articles; 32 articles were finally included in this review, comprising a total of 5095 patients.
RESULTS
The studies were heterogeneous, varying from single institution reports to large prospective trials. Older studies, describing eras where non-platinum-based chemotherapy regimens were used, showed clearly worse outcomes. Survival for stage I-II gonadal disease is excellent. On the other hand, patients with an initial alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) > 10,000 ng/mL or kU/L, age > 11 years and stage IV disease confer a survival disadvantage. For testicular disease in particular, lymphovascular invasion and certain histopathological subtypes, such as embryonal carcinoma (EC) and mixed malignant GCTs, survival is poorer. Survival data for sacrococcygeal and mediastinal GCTs show a heterogeneous distribution across studies in this review, independent of year of publication. Patients > 12 years presenting with a mediastinal GCT pose a subpopulation which fares worse than GCTs in other locations or age groups. This is independent of AFP levels, stage of disease or treatment protocol, and these patients may demand a different treatment strategy.
CONCLUSIONS
This review describes the heterogeneous nature of GCTs in different anatomical locations, impacting on stage at presentation, treatment modalities used and survival data. Despite this heterogeneity, in line with the current developmental biology-based classification system, subpopulations can be defined which have an inferior EFS and OS and where future research and more individualised treatment would help to improve survival.
PubMed: 34298776
DOI: 10.3390/cancers13143561 -
American Journal of Translational... 2021This study aimed to provide diagnostic clues for patients with elevated serum alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) in the absence of liver tumors and rectify some previously confused... (Review)
Review
This study aimed to provide diagnostic clues for patients with elevated serum alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) in the absence of liver tumors and rectify some previously confused concepts about hepatoid carcinoma of the lung through a systematic review on hepatoid adenocarcinoma of the lung (HAL). A thorough search for original articles on HAL published prior to November 2020 was performed using the PubMed, EBSCOhost, Embase, WanFang Data, and China National Knowledge Infrastructure (CNKI) databases. Ninety-four patients from 88 studies met the eligibility criteria. HAL was rare and mainly occurred among male Asian smokers in their 60 s, presenting with cough, hemoptysis, chest pain, dyspnea and/or weight loss, as well as elevated serum AFP with a mass usually in the right upper lung lobe but no liver masses. Hepatoid differentiation regions, acinar or papillary structures in tumor tissues, and positive immunohistochemical expression of AFP, HepPar-1, and CK8/18 were crucial indicators for the diagnosis of HAL. Surgery-based strategies were recommended for stage I-III patients, while stage IV patients were mainly treated with chemotherapy-based strategy. The 1-, 3-, and 5-year overall survival rates were 40%, 35%, and 19%, respectively. The 1-year relapse-free survival rate was 58%. The postoperative monitoring of AFP contributed to the early detection of tumor recurrence, with a positive rate of 71.43%. In conclusion, patients with elevated serum AFP levels without any detectable hepatic lesions should be evaluated for the possibility of HAL.
PubMed: 33841629
DOI: No ID Found -
Journal of Clinical Medicine Research Jul 2023Protein induced by vitamin K absence or antagonist-II (PIVKA-II) and α-fetoprotein (AFP) are promising tumor markers for the diagnosis of hepatocellular carcinoma...
BACKGROUND
Protein induced by vitamin K absence or antagonist-II (PIVKA-II) and α-fetoprotein (AFP) are promising tumor markers for the diagnosis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Yet, their diagnostic performance differs throughout HCC investigations. The aim of this meta-analysis was to assess the effectiveness of PIVKA-II and AFP in the diagnosis of HCC.
METHODS
A systematic literature search was performed to identify relevant studies from eight databases, which were published up to February 2023, in order to compare the diagnostic performance of PIVKA-II and AFP for HCC. Pooled sensitivity and specificity were calculated. Summary receiver operating characteristic (SROC) curve was performed to assess the diagnostic accuracy of each biomarker.
RESULTS
Fifty-three studies were identified. The pooled sensitivity (95% confidence interval (CI)) of PIVKA-II and AFP was 0.71 (0.70 - 0.72) and 0.64 (0.63 - 0.65), respectively in diagnosis of HCC, and the corresponding pooled specificity (95% CI) was 0.90 (0.89 - 0.90) and 0.87 (0.87 - 0.88), respectively. The area under the ROC curve (AUC) of PIVKA-II and AFP was 0.89 (0.88 - 0.90) and 0.78 (0.77 - 0.79), respectively. Subgroup analysis demonstrated that PIVKA-II presented higher AUC values compared to AFP in terms of ethnic group (African, European, Asian, and American patients), etiology (mixed-type HCC, hepatitis C virus (HCV)-related, and hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related) and sample size of cases (≤ 100 and > 100).
CONCLUSION
This study reveals that PIVKA-II is a promising biomarker for identifying and tracking HCC, exhibiting greater accuracy than AFP. Our findings indicate that PIVKA-II outperforms AFP in detecting HCC across diverse racial groups and sample sizes, as well as in cases of HBV-related, HCV-related, or mixed-etiology HCC.
PubMed: 37575350
DOI: 10.14740/jocmr4951 -
Frontiers in Oncology 2024Portal vein tumor thrombus (PVTT) is a common complication and an obstacle to treatment, with a high recurrence rate and poor prognosis. There is still no global...
BACKGROUND
Portal vein tumor thrombus (PVTT) is a common complication and an obstacle to treatment, with a high recurrence rate and poor prognosis. There is still no global consensus or standard guidelines on the management of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) with PVTT. Increasing evidence suggests that more aggressive treatment modalities, including transarterial chemoembolization, radiotherapy, targeted therapy, and various combination therapies, may improve the prognosis and prolong the survival of advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (aHCC) patients with PVTT. We aim to comprehensively review and compare the efficacy and safety of these advanced options for aHCC with PVTT.
METHODS
A comprehensive literature search was conducted on PubMed and EMBASE for phase II or III randomized controlled trials (RCTs) investigating multimodality treatments for aHCC with PVTT. Kaplan-Meier curves for overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival were constructed to retrieve individual patient-level data to strengthen the comparison of the benefits of all multimodality treatments of interest. Each study was pooled in a fixed-effects network meta-analysis (NMA). We also conducted subgroup analyses using risk ratios extracted from each study, including viral etiology, Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) staging, alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) levels, macrovascular invasion or portal vein tumor thrombosis, and extrahepatic spread. Multimodality treatments were ranked using SUCRA scores.
RESULTS
We identified 15 randomized controlled trials with 16 multimodality regimens that met the inclusion criteria. Among them, 5,236 patients with OS results and 5,160 patients with PFS results were included in the analysis. The hepatic arterial infusion chemotherapy of fluorouracil, leucovorin, and oxaliplatin (HAIC-FO) showed OS and PFS benefits over all the other therapies. In terms of OS, HAIC-FO, nivolumab, and TACE+Len were superior to sorafenib, lenvatinib, and donatinib monotherapies, as well as HAIC-FO+Sor. In terms of PFS, TACE+Len showed better benefits than lenvatinib, donatinib, and tremelimumab+durvalumab. A low heterogeneity ( < 50%) and consistency were observed. The SUCRA score for OS ranked HAIC-FO+sorafenib as the best treatment option among all multimodality treatments in hepatitis B, MVI, or PVTT with EHS and AFP 400 μg/L subgroups.
CONCLUSION
HAIC-FO and HAIC-FO+sorafenib are statistically better options for unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma with PVTT among the multimodality treatments, and their effective and safe implementation may provide the best outcomes for HCC-PVTT patients.
PubMed: 38434681
DOI: 10.3389/fonc.2024.1344798