Authors: Chi Heem Wong, Kien Wei Siah, Andrew W Lo...

Previous estimates of drug development success rates rely on relatively small samples from databases curated by the pharmaceutical industry and are subject to potential selection biases. Using a sample of 406 038 entries of clinical trial data for over 21 143 compounds from January 1, 2000 to October 31, 2015, we estimate aggregate clinical trial success rates and durations. We also compute disaggregated estimates across several trial features including disease type, clinical phase, industry or academic sponsor, biomarker presence, lead indication status, and time. In several cases, our results differ significantly in detail from widely cited statistics. For example, oncology has a 3.4% success rate in our sample vs. 5.1% in prior studies. However, after declining to 1.7% in 2012, this rate has improved to 2.5% and 8.3% in 2014 and 2015, respectively. In addition, trials that use biomarkers in patient-selection have higher overall success probabilities than trials without biomarkers.

Topics: Biomarkers; Clinical Trials as Topic; Databases, Factual; Drug Development; Humans; Models, Statistical; Outcome Assessment, Health Care

PubMed: 29394327
DOI: 10.1093/biostatistics/kxx069

Review

Authors: Ming Lu, Jian Liu, Xikun Wu...

Ciprofol is a novel compound that was independently developed in China. According to the Chinese product instructions approved by the China National Medical Products Administration and the information of official website, indications for ciprofol include sedation and anesthesia during the surgical/procedure of nontracheal intubation, induction and maintenance of general anesthesia, and sedation during intensive care. Ciprofol is a short-acting intravenous sedative based on the structural modification of propofol. Ciprofol has high efficacy, good selectivity, and fewer adverse reactions, indicating good clinical application potential. A series of clinical studies have been conducted to evaluate the sedative effect of ciprofol in various procedures and settings, including gastroscopy and colonoscopy, fiber-optic bronchoscopy, general anesthesia in elective surgeries, and mechanical ventilation in intensive care units. This review summarizes the chemical structure, pharmacodynamics, and pharmacokinetic properties of ciprofol. We also assessed the efficacy and safety of ciprofol by synthesizing the relevant clinical trial data.

Topics: Humans; Anesthesia, General; Anesthesia, Intravenous; Anesthetics, Intravenous; Critical Care; Hypnotics and Sedatives; Propofol; Clinical Trials as Topic

PubMed: 36714027
DOI: 10.1155/2023/7443226

Review

Authors: Albert Jang, Ayse T Kendi, Geoffrey B Johnson...

Radiopharmaceuticals are rapidly developing as a field, with the successful use of targeted beta emitters in neuroendocrine tumors and prostate cancer serving as catalysts. Targeted alpha emitters are in current development for several potential oncologic indications. Herein, we review the three most prevalently studied conjugated/chelated alpha emitters (actinium, lead, and astatine) and focus on contemporary clinical trials in an effort to more fully appreciate the breadth of the current evaluation. Phase I trials targeting multiple diseases are now underway, and at least one phase III trial (in selected neuroendocrine cancers) is currently in the initial stages of recruitment. Combination trials are now also emerging as alpha emitters are integrated with other therapies in an effort to create solutions for those with advanced cancers. Despite the promise of targeted alpha therapies, many challenges remain. These challenges include the development of reliable supply chains, the need for a better understanding of the relationships between administered dose and absorbed dose in both tissue and tumor and how that predicts outcomes, and the incomplete understanding of potential long-term deleterious effects of the alpha emitters. Progress on multiple fronts is necessary to bring the potential of targeted alpha therapies into the clinic.

Topics: Humans; Male; Alpha Particles; Prostatic Neoplasms; Radiopharmaceuticals; Clinical Trials as Topic

PubMed: 37511386
DOI: 10.3390/ijms241411626

Authors: Ian T T Liu, Aaron S Kesselheim, Edward R Scheffer Cliff...

IMPORTANCE

The US Food and Drug Administration's (FDA) accelerated approval pathway allows approval of investigational drugs treating unmet medical needs based on changes to surrogate measures considered "reasonably likely" to predict clinical benefit. Postapproval clinical trials are then required to confirm whether these drugs offer clinical benefit.

OBJECTIVE

To determine whether cancer drugs granted accelerated approval ultimately demonstrate clinical benefit and to evaluate the basis of conversion to regular approval.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

In this cohort study, publicly available FDA data were used to identify cancer drugs granted accelerated approval from 2013 to 2023.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

Demonstrated improvement in quality of life or overall survival in accelerated approvals with more than 5 years of follow-up, as well as confirmatory trial end points and time to conversion for drug-indication pairs converted to regular approval.

RESULTS

A total of 129 cancer drug-indication pairs were granted accelerated approval from 2013 to 2023. Among 46 indications with more than 5 years of follow-up (approved 2013-2017), approximately two-thirds (29, 63%) were converted to regular approval, 10 (22%) were withdrawn, and 7 (15%) remained ongoing after a median of 6.3 years. Fewer than half (20/46, 43%) demonstrated a clinical benefit in confirmatory trials. Time to withdrawal decreased from 9.9 years to 3.6 years, and time to regular approval increased from 1.6 years to 3.6 years. Among 48 drug-indication pairs converted to regular approval, 19 (40%) were converted based on overall survival, 21 (44%) on progression-free survival, 5 (10%) on response rate plus duration of response, 2 (4%) on response rate, and 1 (2%) despite a negative confirmatory trial. Comparing accelerated and regular approval indications, 18 of 48 (38%) were unchanged, while 30 of 48 (63%) had different indications (eg, earlier line of therapy).

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

Most cancer drugs granted accelerated approval did not demonstrate benefit in overall survival or quality of life within 5 years of accelerated approval. Patients should be clearly informed about the cancer drugs that use the accelerated approval pathway and do not end up showing benefits in patient-centered clinical outcomes.

Topics: Humans; Antineoplastic Agents; Clinical Trials as Topic; Cohort Studies; Drug Approval; Drugs, Investigational; Neoplasms; Quality of Life; Survival Analysis; Time Factors; Treatment Outcome; United States; United States Food and Drug Administration; Follow-Up Studies

PubMed: 38583175
DOI: 10.1001/jama.2024.2396

Review

Authors: Emilio Perucca, H Steve White, Meir Bialer...

The inhibitory neurotransmitter γ-aminobutyric acid (GABA) plays an important role in the modulation of neuronal excitability, and a disruption of GABAergic transmission contributes to the pathogenesis of some seizure disorders. Although many currently available antiseizure medications do act at least in part by potentiating GABAergic transmission, there is an opportunity for further research aimed at developing more innovative GABA-targeting therapies. The present article summarises available evidence on a number of such treatments in clinical development. These can be broadly divided into three groups. The first group consists of positive allosteric modulators of GABA receptors and includes Staccato alprazolam (an already marketed benzodiazepine being repurposed in epilepsy as a potential rescue inhalation treatment for prolonged and repetitive seizures), the α2/3/5 subtype-selective agents darigabat and ENX-101, and the orally active neurosteroids ETX155 and LPCN 2101. A second group comprises two drugs already marketed for non-neurological indications, which could be repurposed as treatments for seizure disorders. These include bumetanide, a diuretic agent that has undergone clinical trials in phenobarbital-resistant neonatal seizures and for which the rationale for further development in this indication is under debate, and ivermectin, an antiparasitic drug currently investigated in a randomised double-blind trial in focal epilepsy. The last group comprises a series of highly innovative therapies, namely GABAergic interneurons (NRTX-001) delivered via stereotactic cerebral implantation as a treatment for mesial temporal lobe epilepsy, an antisense oligonucleotide (STK-001) aimed at upregulating NaV1.1 currents and restoring the function of GABAergic interneurons, currently tested in a trial in patients with Dravet syndrome, and an adenoviral vector-based gene therapy (ETX-101) scheduled for investigation in Dravet syndrome. Another agent, a subcutaneously administered neuroactive peptide (NRP2945) that reportedly upregulates the expression of GABA receptor α and β subunits is being investigated, with Lennox-Gastaut syndrome and other epilepsies as proposed indications. The diversity of the current pipeline underscores a strong interest in the GABA system as a target for new treatment development in epilepsy. To date, limited clinical data are available for these investigational treatments and further studies are required to assess their potential value in addressing unmet needs in epilepsy management.

Topics: Infant, Newborn; Humans; Epilepsy; gamma-Aminobutyric Acid; Epilepsies, Myoclonic; Epilepsies, Partial; Lennox Gastaut Syndrome; Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic

PubMed: 37603261
DOI: 10.1007/s40263-023-01025-4

Review

Authors: Xiao-Peng Duan, Bao-Dong Qin, Xiao-Dong Jiao...

In the era of precision medicine, it has been increasingly recognized that individuals with a certain disease are complex and different from each other. Due to the underestimation of the significant heterogeneity across participants in traditional "one-size-fits-all" trials, patient-centered trials that could provide optimal therapy customization to individuals with specific biomarkers were developed including the basket, umbrella, and platform trial designs under the master protocol framework. In recent years, the successive FDA approval of indications based on biomarker-guided master protocol designs has demonstrated that these new clinical trials are ushering in tremendous opportunities. Despite the rapid increase in the number of basket, umbrella, and platform trials, the current clinical and research understanding of these new trial designs, as compared with traditional trial designs, remains limited. The majority of the research focuses on methodologies, and there is a lack of in-depth insight concerning the underlying biological logic of these new clinical trial designs. Therefore, we provide this comprehensive review of the discovery and development of basket, umbrella, and platform trials and their underlying logic from the perspective of precision medicine. Meanwhile, we discuss future directions on the potential development of these new clinical design in view of the "Precision Pro", "Dynamic Precision", and "Intelligent Precision". This review would assist trial-related researchers to enhance the innovation and feasibility of clinical trial designs by expounding the underlying logic, which be essential to accelerate the progression of precision medicine.

Topics: Humans; Precision Medicine; Clinical Trials as Topic; Adaptive Clinical Trials as Topic

PubMed: 38438349
DOI: 10.1038/s41392-024-01760-0

Review

Authors: B Cooke, E Ernst

Aromatherapy is becoming increasingly popular; however there are few clear indications for its use. To systematically review the literature on aromatherapy in order to discover whether any clinical indication may be recommended for its use, computerised literature searches were performed to retrieve all randomised controlled trials of aromatherapy from the following databases: MEDLINE, EMBASE, British Nursing Index, CISCOM, and AMED. The methodological quality of the trials was assessed using the Jadad score. All trials were evaluated independently by both authors and data were extracted in a pre-defined, standardised fashion. Twelve trials were located: six of them had no independent replication; six related to the relaxing effects of aromatherapy combined with massage. These studies suggest that aromatherapy massage has a mild, transient anxiolytic effect. Based on a critical assessment of the six studies relating to relaxation, the effects of aromatherapy are probably not strong enough for it to be considered for the treatment of anxiety. The hypothesis that it is effective for any other indication is not supported by the findings of rigorous clinical trials.

Topics: Anxiety; Aromatherapy; Clinical Trials as Topic; Humans; Massage; Oils, Volatile; Treatment Outcome

PubMed: 10962794
DOI: No ID Found

Review

Authors: Cyrielle Caussy, Scott B Reeder, Claude B Sirlin...

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is currently the most common cause of chronic liver disease worldwide, and the progressive form of this condition, nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH), has become one of the leading indications for liver transplantation. Despite intensive investigations, there are currently no United States Food and Drug Administration-approved therapies for treating NASH. A major barrier for drug development in NASH is that treatment response assessment continues to require liver biopsy, which is invasive and interpreted subjectively. Therefore, there is a major unmet need for developing noninvasive, objective, and quantitative biomarkers for diagnosis and assessment of treatment response. Emerging data support the use of magnetic resonance imaging-derived proton density fat fraction (MRI-PDFF) as a noninvasive, quantitative, and accurate measure of liver fat content to assess treatment response in early-phase NASH trials. In this review, we discuss the role and utility, including potential sample size reduction, of MRI-PDFF as a quantitative and noninvasive imaging-based biomarker in early-phase NASH trials. Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is currently the most common cause of chronic liver disease worldwide. NAFLD can be broadly classified into two categories: nonalcoholic fatty liver, which has a minimal risk of progression to cirrhosis, and nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH), the more progressive form of NAFLD, which has a significantly increased risk of progression to cirrhosis. Over the past two decades, NASH-related cirrhosis has become the second leading indication for liver transplantation in the United States. For these reasons, pharmacological therapy for NASH is needed urgently. Despite intensive investigations, there are currently no therapies for treating NASH that have been approved by the United States Food and Drug Administration..

Topics: Biomarkers; Clinical Trials as Topic; Humans; Intra-Abdominal Fat; Liver; Magnetic Resonance Imaging; Non-alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease

PubMed: 29356032
DOI: 10.1002/hep.29797

Authors: Rachel R Mizenko, Madison Feaver, Batuhan T Bozkurt...

This systematic review examines the landscape of extracellular vesicle (EV)-related clinical trials to elucidate the field's trends in clinical applications and EV-related methodologies, with an additional focus on the acknowledgement of EV subpopulations. By analysing data from public reporting repositories, we catalogued 471 EV-related clinical trials to date, with indications for over 200 diseases. Diagnostics and companion diagnostics represented the bulk of EV-related clinical trials with cancer being the most frequent application. EV-related therapeutics trials mainly utilized mesenchymal stromal cell (MSC) EVs and were most frequently used for treatment of respiratory illnesses. Ultracentrifugation and RNA-sequencing were the most common isolation and characterization techniques; however, methodology for each was not frequently reported in study records. Most of the reported characterization relied on bulk characterization of EV isolates, with only 11% utilizing EV subpopulations in their experimental design. While this may be connected to a lack of available techniques suitable for clinical implementation, it also highlights the opportunity for use of EV subpopulations to improve translational efforts. As academic research identifies more chemically distinct subpopulations and technologies for their enrichment, we forecast to more refined EV trials in the near future. This review emphasizes the need for meticulous methodological reporting and consideration of EV subpopulations to enhance the translational success of EV-based interventions, pointing towards a paradigm shift in personalized medicine.

Topics: Humans; Extracellular Vesicles; Clinical Trials as Topic; Neoplasms; Mesenchymal Stem Cells

PubMed: 39330928
DOI: 10.1002/jev2.12510

Authors: F Rieder, D Bettenworth, C Ma...

BACKGROUND

Fibrotic stricture is a common complication of Crohn's disease (CD) affecting approximately half of all patients. No specific anti-fibrotic therapies are available; however, several therapies are currently under evaluation. Drug development for the indication of stricturing CD is hampered by a lack of standardised definitions, diagnostic modalities, clinical trial eligibility criteria, endpoints and treatment targets in stricturing CD.

AIM

To standardise definitions, diagnosis and treatment targets for anti-fibrotic stricture therapies in Chron's disease.

METHODS

An interdisciplinary expert panel consisting of 15 gastroenterologists and radiologists was assembled. Using modified RAND/University of California Los Angeles appropriateness methodology, 109 candidate items derived from systematic review and expert opinion focusing on small intestinal strictures were anonymously rated as inappropriate, uncertain or appropriate. Survey results were discussed as a group before a second and third round of voting.

RESULTS

Fibrotic strictures are defined by the combination of luminal narrowing, wall thickening and pre-stenotic dilation. Definitions of anastomotic (at site of prior intestinal resection with anastomosis) and naïve small bowel strictures were similar; however, there was uncertainty regarding wall thickness in anastomotic strictures. Magnetic resonance imaging is considered the optimal technique to define fibrotic strictures and assess response to therapy. Symptomatic strictures are defined by abdominal distension, cramping, dietary restrictions, nausea, vomiting, abdominal pain and post-prandial abdominal pain. Need for intervention (endoscopic balloon dilation or surgery) within 24-48 weeks is considered the appropriate endpoint in pharmacological trials.

CONCLUSIONS

Consensus criteria for diagnosis and response to therapy in stricturing Crohn's disease should inform both clinical practice and trial design.

Topics: Catheterization; Clinical Trials as Topic; Colon; Consensus; Constriction, Pathologic; Crohn Disease; Dilatation; Endoscopy; Fibrosis; Humans; Intestinal Obstruction; Intestine, Small; Practice Guidelines as Topic; Reference Standards

PubMed: 29920726
DOI: 10.1111/apt.14853